{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "40e375d7-0183-493a-a6cf-e15dd0eaaccd",
    "symbol": "QLVE",
    "name": "FLEXSHARES TRUST EMERGING MKTS QUALITY LOW VOLATILITY IDX",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 65.808,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 35.417,
    "architecture_energy": 19.2,
    "architecture_maturity": 48.074,
    "architecture_confidence": 83.459,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 50.58,
        "rotation_up": 24.41,
        "upward_expansion": 54.15,
        "deceleration": 90.23,
        "rotation_down": 28.44,
        "downward_expansion": 17.82
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        32.946053,
        33.092574,
        33.008341,
        32.4911
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 33.275,
    "trend_reference": 31.893811,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.043306,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 25.810634,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.289197,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -2.511719,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.06587,
    "excess_performance": -0.059755,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.043306,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.04513,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.289197,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.070438,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.025117,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.067198,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.06587,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.117507,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 3333,
      "relative_activity": 1.184098,
      "balance": 2.117507,
      "dry_up": 0.397364,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.034952,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.213397,
      "from_high_reference": -0.047096,
      "from_low_reference": 0.231162
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 31.893811,
      "fair_value_reference": 25.810634,
      "structural_low": 28.5015,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 0.016466,
        "positive_rate": 0.777778,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.777778,
        "median_excess_return": 0.004645,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.106429,
        "worst_return": -0.030586,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.033556,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.012719,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.200933,
        "worst_return": 0.024172,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.117427,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.012968,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.177979,
        "worst_return": 0.033556,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.101693,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.080739,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.108751,
        "worst_return": 0.094635,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-04-19",
        "end": "2024-05-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.049562,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-05-17",
        "end": "2024-11-08",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.051684,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-11-15",
        "end": "2024-12-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.001928,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-01-03",
        "end": "2025-01-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.009676,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-31",
        "end": "2025-02-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0057,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-02-14",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.041157,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-04-25",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.023476,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-02",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.01945,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-05-23",
        "end": "2025-12-05",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.118409,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2025-12-26",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.020517,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "return": -0.003765,
        "active": false
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      {
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        "active": true
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 32.082889,
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        "typical_volume": 7344.65,
        "trend": 29.802377,
        "fair_value": 24.640717,
        "relative_strength": 2.438106,
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        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "trend": 29.920631,
        "fair_value": 24.713301,
        "relative_strength": 1.647301,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 6885.05,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "relative_strength": 0.595459,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "trend": 30.359951,
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        "relative_strength": 0.139155,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "trend": 30.633154,
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        "relative_strength": 0.317463,
        "stage": 2,
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        "direction": 60.345087,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 3925.85,
        "trend": 30.78774,
        "fair_value": 25.190397,
        "relative_strength": 3.676961,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 3290.05,
        "trend": 31.156528,
        "fair_value": 25.360148,
        "relative_strength": 4.179588,
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        "energy": 50.331039,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 3191.6,
        "trend": 31.287873,
        "fair_value": 25.437159,
        "relative_strength": -0.153551,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 3536,
        "typical_volume": 3108.1,
        "trend": 31.44887,
        "fair_value": 25.514113,
        "relative_strength": 0.542544,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 55.891995,
        "energy": 41.862836,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 32.4926,
        "volume": 300,
        "typical_volume": 2948.1,
        "trend": 31.571255,
        "fair_value": 25.586176,
        "relative_strength": -0.905998,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 39.194626,
        "energy": 22.708433,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.104287,
          33.276528,
          32.785462,
          32.252541
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 32.4987,
        "volume": 547,
        "typical_volume": 2861.65,
        "trend": 31.679822,
        "fair_value": 25.655146,
        "relative_strength": -0.337864,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 32.377257,
        "energy": 21.589025,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.798527,
          33.139954,
          32.834552,
          32.312377
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 32.9627,
        "volume": 294,
        "typical_volume": 2723.7,
        "trend": 31.787672,
        "fair_value": 25.731041,
        "relative_strength": -0.043292,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 30.38861,
        "energy": 17.74791,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.8029,
          33.089916,
          32.914545,
          32.395143
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 33.275,
        "volume": 3333,
        "typical_volume": 2814.8,
        "trend": 31.893811,
        "fair_value": 25.810634,
        "relative_strength": -2.511719,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 35.417394,
        "energy": 19.200372,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.946053,
          33.092574,
          33.008341,
          32.4911
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}