{ "ticker": { "uuid": "40e8ec0e-3825-4c0e-9dbf-6f3aaec61e95", "symbol": "300998", "name": "Ningbo Fangzheng Automobile Mould Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 70.207, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -17.033, "architecture_energy": 27.79, "architecture_maturity": 13.674, "architecture_confidence": 55.544, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 44.97, "rotation_up": 17.25, "upward_expansion": 17.74, "deceleration": 64.36, "rotation_down": 60.42, "downward_expansion": 40.41 }, "activity_lines": [ 23.604667, 25.227273, 26.143796, 25.815399 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 25.49, "trend_reference": 25.275512, "distance_from_trend": 0.008486, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 21.597262, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.180242, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 0.357768, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.118314, "excess_performance": 0.110914, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.008486, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.053815, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.180242, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.095434, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.003578, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.04562, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.118314, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.73306, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 17363531, "relative_activity": 0.919388, "balance": 0.73306, "dry_up": 1.500199, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.159294, "annualized_volatility": 0.483691, "from_high_reference": -0.319359, "from_low_reference": 0.593125 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 25.275512, "fair_value_reference": 21.597262, "structural_low": 16.0, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.059406, "positive_rate": 0.785714, "directional_follow_through": 0.785714, "median_excess_return": 0.051025, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.263959, "worst_return": -0.15336, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.099982, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.06773, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.230065, "worst_return": -0.262241, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.118314, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.110914, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.19585, "worst_return": -0.218073, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 15.22428, "energy": 9.094977, "activity_lines": [ 27.056, 27.489091, 27.036675, 26.254642 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 21.16, "volume": 41034781, "typical_volume": 17845355.7, "trend": 25.149823, "fair_value": 21.685446, "relative_strength": -14.70451, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -26.686287, "energy": 23.333296, "activity_lines": [ 24.803333, 26.297235, 26.563654, 25.996755 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 22.0, "volume": 26124700, "typical_volume": 18624853.95, "trend": 25.15119, "fair_value": 21.626872, "relative_strength": -9.259301, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -24.717305, "energy": 31.227722, "activity_lines": [ 23.403333, 25.391091, 26.183328, 25.793541 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 25.49, "volume": 17363531, "typical_volume": 18885960.65, "trend": 25.275512, "fair_value": 21.597262, "relative_strength": 0.357768, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -17.032523, "energy": 27.79, "activity_lines": [ 23.604667, 25.227273, 26.143796, 25.815399 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }