{ "ticker": { "uuid": "40ef8340-e731-4fff-aacc-005e9ee6bc33", "symbol": "SPRE", "name": "TIDAL TRUST I SP FDS &P GLOBAL REIT SHARIA ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 63.539, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 53.793, "architecture_energy": 40.696, "architecture_maturity": 36.503, "architecture_confidence": 62.734, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.2, "rotation_up": 48.19, "upward_expansion": 74.0, "deceleration": 61.23, "rotation_down": 20.25, "downward_expansion": 5.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 21.531987, 21.453116, 21.272656, 21.022698 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 21.485, "trend_reference": 20.71821, "distance_from_trend": 0.03701, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 18.831882, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.140884, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -4.199431, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.072721, "excess_performance": -0.052904, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.03701, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.037273, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.140884, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.000676, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.041994, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.011998, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.072721, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.089739, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 291731, "relative_activity": 0.840861, "balance": 1.089739, "dry_up": 0.774876, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.028018, "annualized_volatility": 0.147993, "from_high_reference": -0.01895, "from_low_reference": 0.174064 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 20.71821, "fair_value_reference": 18.831882, "structural_low": 19.068775, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": 0.009036, "positive_rate": 0.6875, "directional_follow_through": 0.6875, "median_excess_return": -0.010744, "regime_survival": 0.6875, "best_return": 0.054307, "worst_return": -0.090915, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.011951, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.031766, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.04576, "worst_return": -0.058633, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.036952, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.075093, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.070123, "worst_return": 0.018693, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"relative_strength": 0.192436, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.323495, "energy": 45.343985, "activity_lines": [ 21.38925, 21.291792, 21.059759, 20.83216 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 21.732929, "volume": 198012, "typical_volume": 339799.7, "trend": 20.580415, "fair_value": 18.77579, "relative_strength": 1.23521, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.759603, "energy": 48.734291, "activity_lines": [ 21.520584, 21.389931, 21.154714, 20.911522 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 21.47, "volume": 396065, "typical_volume": 345647.95, "trend": 20.651358, "fair_value": 18.804232, "relative_strength": -1.00823, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.427098, "energy": 41.283173, "activity_lines": [ 21.524326, 21.424183, 21.217099, 20.968915 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 21.485, "volume": 291731, "typical_volume": 346943.15, "trend": 20.71821, "fair_value": 18.831882, "relative_strength": -4.199431, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 53.792672, "energy": 40.695654, "activity_lines": [ 21.531987, 21.453116, 21.272656, 21.022698 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }