{ "ticker": { "uuid": "40f68523-6ec5-44a7-9e1f-40c3d2668a84", "symbol": "MILA", "name": "Mila Resources Plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -54.918, "architecture_energy": 34.115, "architecture_maturity": 23.767, "architecture_confidence": 95.741, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.27, "rotation_up": 19.11, "upward_expansion": 3.51, "deceleration": 50.49, "rotation_down": 51.97, "downward_expansion": 76.84 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.0104, 0.010495, 0.011715, 0.011835 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.0105, "trend_reference": 0.012372, "distance_from_trend": -0.151287, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.008488, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.23702, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -29.572019, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.05, "excess_performance": -0.001235, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.151287, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.200108, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.23702, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.701306, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.29572, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.579947, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.05, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.563651, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5750726, "relative_activity": 0.211239, "balance": 0.563651, "dry_up": 0.550608, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.212601, "annualized_volatility": 0.904824, "from_high_reference": -0.625, "from_low_reference": 1.234043 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.012372, "fair_value_reference": 0.008488, "structural_low": 0.0085, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 33, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.484848, "directional_follow_through": 0.424242, "median_excess_return": 0.006967, "regime_survival": 0.818182, "best_return": 2.113208, "worst_return": -0.517857, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.045455, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.416667, "median_excess_return": 0.056201, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 2.4, "worst_return": -0.651786, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.25, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.287713, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 2.1, "worst_return": -0.607143, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 4, 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"blue", "start": "2025-05-16", "end": "2025-05-16", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2025-06-13", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.373913, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-06-20", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.382353, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2025-08-29", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.941176, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-09-05", "end": "2025-12-19", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.870968, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-12-26", "end": "2026-02-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.384615, "active": false 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}, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.00975, "volume": 9767920, "typical_volume": 28678277.25, "trend": 0.013042, "fair_value": 0.008511, "relative_strength": -32.771671, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.233143, "energy": 54.616248, "activity_lines": [ 0.010017, 0.010805, 0.011962, 0.012109 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.011, "volume": 23645614, "typical_volume": 27958489.5, "trend": 0.012708, "fair_value": 0.008501, "relative_strength": -25.56147, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.906815, "energy": 43.478845, "activity_lines": [ 0.0103, 0.01065, 0.011863, 0.011977 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.0105, "volume": 5750726, "typical_volume": 27223830.8, "trend": 0.012372, "fair_value": 0.008488, "relative_strength": -29.572019, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.917831, "energy": 34.114703, "activity_lines": [ 0.0104, 0.010495, 0.011715, 0.011835 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }