{ "ticker": { "uuid": "41000572-8374-4bf4-a8f3-4a2d458d6cad", "symbol": "2308", "name": "Delta Electronics, Inc.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-21", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 57.042, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -18.333, "architecture_energy": 19.736, "architecture_maturity": 26.783, "architecture_confidence": 61.968, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 42.35, "rotation_up": 18.41, "upward_expansion": 19.54, "deceleration": 62.0, "rotation_down": 55.92, "downward_expansion": 40.21 }, "activity_lines": [ 1753.666667, 1783.090909, 1913.888057, 1875.68327 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 1750.0, "trend_reference": 1759.334778, "distance_from_trend": -0.005306, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 707.926993, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.472006, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -2.579582, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.396151, "excess_performance": 0.050419, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.005306, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.198654, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.472006, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.164084, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.025796, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.473208, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.396151, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.757292, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 45824998, "relative_activity": 0.887491, "balance": 0.757292, "dry_up": 1.316579, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.164055, "annualized_volatility": 0.653537, "from_high_reference": -0.319477, "from_low_reference": 1.841924 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1759.334778, "fair_value_reference": 707.926993, "structural_low": 1188.783853, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.007092, "positive_rate": 0.461538, "directional_follow_through": 0.461538, "median_excess_return": -0.008103, "regime_survival": 0.538462, "best_return": 0.317992, "worst_return": -0.209639, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.086189, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.015237, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.416309, "worst_return": -0.07659, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.17782, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.045684, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.467811, "worst_return": -0.151734, 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45824998, "typical_volume": 51634322.1, "trend": 1759.334778, "fair_value": 707.926993, "relative_strength": -2.579582, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -18.333042, "energy": 19.736284, "activity_lines": [ 1753.666667, 1783.090909, 1913.888057, 1875.68327 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }