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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3c", "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch", "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 20.621, "architecture_energy": 15.159, "architecture_maturity": 17.234, "architecture_confidence": 49.786, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 52.76, "rotation_up": 41.97, "upward_expansion": 64.26, "deceleration": 58.08, "rotation_down": 20.76, "downward_expansion": 14.26 }, "activity_lines": [ 58.334667, 58.402405, 58.093651, 57.921093 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 56.540001, "trend_reference": 57.288978, "distance_from_trend": -0.013074, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 45.701049, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.237171, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -8.086531, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.043688, "excess_performance": -0.076733, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.013074, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.029247, "read": "Rising" 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58.230388, 57.963191 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 56.540001, "volume": 4355700, "typical_volume": 4600735.0, "trend": 57.288978, "fair_value": 45.701049, "relative_strength": -8.086531, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 20.620827, "energy": 15.159415, "activity_lines": [ 58.334667, 58.402405, 58.093651, 57.921093 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }