{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4101306a-16f1-4fd8-bede-66fd6b2272d8", "symbol": "CBVS", "name": "Amundi Multi-Asset Portfolio UCITS ETF Dist", "exchange": "EBS", "country": "CH", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SSMI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 74.29, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 87.6, "architecture_energy": 68.873, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 61.079, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.57, "rotation_up": 55.65, "upward_expansion": 82.71, "deceleration": 70.96, "rotation_down": 28.34, "downward_expansion": 11.71 }, "activity_lines": [ 177.492, 176.943272, 175.241619, 172.673763 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 180.779999, "trend_reference": 169.531333, "distance_from_trend": 0.066352, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 149.306449, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.210798, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -0.627399, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.119519, "excess_performance": 0.036636, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.066352, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.035972, "read": "Rising" 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160.220001, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": 0.011437, "positive_rate": 0.62963, "directional_follow_through": 0.62963, "median_excess_return": -0.004915, "regime_survival": 0.703704, "best_return": 0.053923, "worst_return": -0.111886, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.031525, "positive_rate": 0.545455, "directional_follow_through": 0.545455, "median_excess_return": -0.046431, "regime_survival": 0.636364, "best_return": 0.08873, "worst_return": -0.059479, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.026662, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.036536, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.087019, "worst_return": -0.050467, "sufficient": 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174.979996, "volume": 449, "typical_volume": 278.75, "trend": 167.778, "fair_value": 148.409345, "relative_strength": -2.604148, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.621854, "energy": 62.728461, "activity_lines": [ 175.990665, 175.834908, 173.312285, 170.855871 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 175.740005, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 277.85, "trend": 168.343333, "fair_value": 148.687466, "relative_strength": -2.030184, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 51.822176, "energy": 53.182721, "activity_lines": [ 175.712, 175.911272, 173.829428, 171.369548 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 176.720001, "volume": 637, "typical_volume": 309.25, "trend": 168.941333, "fair_value": 148.982535, "relative_strength": -1.564176, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.936722, "energy": 49.029644, "activity_lines": [ 175.876001, 176.086545, 174.37819, 171.909978 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 180.779999, "volume": 25, "typical_volume": 242.05, "trend": 169.531333, "fair_value": 149.306449, "relative_strength": -0.627399, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 87.60042, "energy": 68.872579, "activity_lines": [ 177.492, 176.943272, 175.241619, 172.673763 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }