{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "4107d522-74c6-457b-a9da-05502ff6f027",
    "symbol": "IMEU",
    "name": "iShares Core MSCI Europe UCITS ETF EUR (Dist)",
    "exchange": "AMS",
    "country": "NL",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^AEX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 82.008,
    "architecture_energy": 71.793,
    "architecture_maturity": 40.699,
    "architecture_confidence": 85.452,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 5.24,
        "rotation_up": 66.13,
        "upward_expansion": 89.18,
        "deceleration": 50.17,
        "rotation_down": 22.7,
        "downward_expansion": 13.51
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        40.706333,
        40.448091,
        39.702578,
        39.075776
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 41.294998,
    "trend_reference": 38.424039,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.074718,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 32.351433,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.27645,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -0.140678,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.095563,
    "excess_performance": -0.021099,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.074718,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.040562,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.27645,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.064135,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.001407,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.007988,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.095563,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.08717,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1436335,
      "relative_activity": 2.017297,
      "balance": 3.08717,
      "dry_up": 1.210186,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.019392,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.149879,
      "from_high_reference": -0.00494,
      "from_low_reference": 0.244622
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 38.424039,
      "fair_value_reference": 32.351433,
      "structural_low": 34.369355,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 39,
        "median_return": 0.011366,
        "positive_rate": 0.589744,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.589744,
        "median_excess_return": -0.000129,
        "regime_survival": 0.769231,
        "best_return": 0.073524,
        "worst_return": -0.05493,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 14,
        "median_return": 0.024722,
        "positive_rate": 0.785714,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.785714,
        "median_excess_return": 0.002739,
        "regime_survival": 0.571429,
        "best_return": 0.085911,
        "worst_return": -0.03159,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 9,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.777778,
        "median_excess_return": 0.019918,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
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        "worst_return": -0.114099,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.12234,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.026678,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
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        "worst_return": -0.048728,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "end": "2023-10-13",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 40.16,
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        "typical_volume": 749744.55,
        "trend": 38.013899,
        "fair_value": 32.081524,
        "relative_strength": -1.140477,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.19148,
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        "activity_lines": [
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          39.04086,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 40.384998,
        "volume": 486629,
        "typical_volume": 707954.75,
        "trend": 38.156418,
        "fair_value": 32.166347,
        "relative_strength": -0.415419,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.017227,
        "energy": 75.907195,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 40.610001,
        "volume": 922079,
        "typical_volume": 700565.1,
        "trend": 38.292295,
        "fair_value": 32.256827,
        "relative_strength": -0.708687,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.133384,
        "energy": 59.502514,
        "activity_lines": [
          40.425667,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 41.294998,
        "volume": 1436335,
        "typical_volume": 712009.7,
        "trend": 38.424039,
        "fair_value": 32.351433,
        "relative_strength": -0.140678,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.008166,
        "energy": 71.79279,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}