{ "ticker": { "uuid": "410f4431-1adc-4a26-8b80-c5cce3b8ae5d", "symbol": "CASH", "name": "Global X High Interest Savings ETF", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 83.272, "architecture_energy": 91.243, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 70.725, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.29, "rotation_up": 78.36, "upward_expansion": 96.75, "deceleration": 42.31, "rotation_down": 14.1, "downward_expansion": 21.08 }, "activity_lines": [ 50.008675, 49.985802, 49.95455, 49.91709 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 50.029999, "trend_reference": 49.856311, "distance_from_trend": 0.003484, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 48.252661, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.036834, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -10.63556, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.006781, "excess_performance": -0.113641, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.003484, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.00297, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.036834, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.005421, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.106356, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.001367, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.006781, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 67.357113, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1270100, "relative_activity": 0.766478, "balance": 67.357113, "dry_up": 0.94891, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.000632, "annualized_volatility": 0.003247, "from_high_reference": -0.0002, "from_low_reference": 0.017993 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 49.856311, "fair_value_reference": 48.252661, "structural_low": 49.693051, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 42, "median_return": 0.002461, "positive_rate": 0.97619, "directional_follow_through": 0.97619, "median_excess_return": -0.013492, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.004342, "worst_return": -0.000139, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.007621, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.049889, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.013381, "worst_return": 0.003163, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.018015, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.099269, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.026246, "worst_return": 0.008757, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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48.193037, "relative_strength": -9.036294, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 85.02352, "energy": 70.899404, "activity_lines": [ 49.969716, 49.961881, 49.932054, 49.892657 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 50.02, "volume": 2169200, "typical_volume": 1696360.0, "trend": 49.84253, "fair_value": 48.222933, "relative_strength": -8.17768, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 85.499898, "energy": 80.849067, "activity_lines": [ 49.991024, 49.973867, 49.943377, 49.904995 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 50.029999, "volume": 1270100, "typical_volume": 1657060.0, "trend": 49.856311, "fair_value": 48.252661, "relative_strength": -10.63556, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.272058, "energy": 91.243193, "activity_lines": [ 50.008675, 49.985802, 49.95455, 49.91709 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }