{ "ticker": { "uuid": "41146aa2-7349-4daf-a45c-cb5ad2819314", "symbol": "300866", "name": "Anker Innovations Limited", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 50.582, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 32.84, "architecture_energy": 20.614, "architecture_maturity": 32.541, "architecture_confidence": 50.269, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 49.41, "rotation_up": 47.56, "upward_expansion": 63.9, "deceleration": 65.32, "rotation_down": 16.64, "downward_expansion": 11.9 }, "activity_lines": [ 116.252667, 113.650363, 115.581475, 113.747738 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 117.169998, "trend_reference": 110.732865, "distance_from_trend": 0.058132, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 88.565733, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.322972, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -1.76695, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.192951, "excess_performance": 0.185551, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.058132, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.008449, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.322972, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.08714, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.017669, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.137378, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.192951, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.374051, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 20850813, "relative_activity": 0.855238, "balance": 1.374051, "dry_up": 0.975467, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.098623, "annualized_volatility": 0.457509, "from_high_reference": -0.201243, "from_low_reference": 0.302423 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 110.732865, "fair_value_reference": 88.565733, "structural_low": 89.963059, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.039678, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": 0.048948, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.248365, "worst_return": -0.196768, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.034325, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.084337, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.160309, "worst_return": -0.060297, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.042268, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.191073, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.414072, "worst_return": -0.042964, "sufficient": false }, { 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"typical_volume": 24678839.95, "trend": 110.282807, "fair_value": 87.466212, "relative_strength": -4.81611, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -15.147449, "energy": 22.69916, "activity_lines": [ 108.632664, 111.88008, 114.493865, 112.308243 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 114.260002, "volume": 25413453, "typical_volume": 24745271.85, "trend": 110.256956, "fair_value": 87.80988, "relative_strength": -1.581275, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -11.463322, "energy": 14.520427, "activity_lines": [ 110.215332, 111.576028, 114.620173, 112.564836 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 122.010002, "volume": 24219162, "typical_volume": 24956947.75, "trend": 110.588071, "fair_value": 88.188126, "relative_strength": 7.103285, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.885098, "energy": 17.096477, "activity_lines": [ 114.571334, 113.015636, 115.393771, 113.323097 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 117.169998, "volume": 20850813, "typical_volume": 24380119.45, "trend": 110.732865, "fair_value": 88.565733, "relative_strength": -1.76695, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 32.84, "energy": 20.614185, "activity_lines": [ 116.252667, 113.650363, 115.581475, 113.747738 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }