{ "ticker": { "uuid": "41198aab-63e2-4482-ac7c-2b08df18411c", "symbol": "ZENA", "name": "ZenaTech Inc.", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -45.687, "architecture_energy": 32.766, "architecture_maturity": 91.358, "architecture_confidence": 88.97, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 34.67, "rotation_up": 26.5, "upward_expansion": 15.62, "deceleration": 46.07, "rotation_down": 41.73, "downward_expansion": 67.95 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.457333, 1.445636, 1.546429, 1.743312 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 1.65, "trend_reference": 2.130167, "distance_from_trend": -0.225413, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.550979, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.535339, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -54.288675, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.43686, "excess_performance": -0.624314, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.225413, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.242877, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.535339, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.064209, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.542887, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.005571, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.43686, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.16379, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 50492232, "relative_activity": 3.417817, "balance": 1.16379, "dry_up": 1.307393, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.192303, "annualized_volatility": 0.866246, "from_high_reference": -0.76791, "from_low_reference": 0.434783 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.130167, "fair_value_reference": 3.550979, "structural_low": 1.15, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.076946, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.140992, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.051852, "worst_return": -0.341463, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.359447, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.546725, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.359447, "worst_return": -0.359447, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-04-10", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.239631, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2024-10-04", "close": 3.91, "volume": 880164, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-10-11", "close": 2.45, "volume": 48133562, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] 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"volume": 8826594, "typical_volume": 13046167.9, "trend": 2.268167, "fair_value": 3.594895, "relative_strength": -61.473216, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.634823, "energy": 44.470241, "activity_lines": [ 1.426, 1.434727, 1.603286, 1.842968 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.28, "volume": 7069980, "typical_volume": 13120289.65, "trend": 2.2065, "fair_value": 3.570781, "relative_strength": -63.6464, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.058652, "energy": 47.876751, "activity_lines": [ 1.370667, 1.405727, 1.555071, 1.779215 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.65, "volume": 50492232, "typical_volume": 14773240.85, "trend": 2.130167, "fair_value": 3.550979, "relative_strength": -54.288675, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.686598, "energy": 32.766322, "activity_lines": [ 1.457333, 1.445636, 1.546429, 1.743312 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }