{ "ticker": { "uuid": "411c740b-1d70-44f9-a8a9-d39fa96d8e6b", "symbol": "P1RG34", "name": "Perrigo Company plc", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -59.356, "architecture_energy": 48.207, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 83.642, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.37, "rotation_up": 24.99, "upward_expansion": 7.16, "deceleration": 57.75, "rotation_down": 49.66, "downward_expansion": 78.16 }, "activity_lines": [ 51.506666, 51.774364, 53.048753, 54.401791 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 51.75, "trend_reference": 58.108238, "distance_from_trend": -0.109421, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 115.921217, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.553576, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -35.639267, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.284524, "excess_performance": -0.227475, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.109421, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.097068, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.553576, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.02556, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.356393, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.143475, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.284524, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.80916, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 4.80916, "dry_up": 0.252479, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.042628, "annualized_volatility": 0.541646, "from_high_reference": -0.593011, "from_low_reference": 0.066312 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 58.108238, "fair_value_reference": 115.921217, "structural_low": 48.531754, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 34, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.411765, "directional_follow_through": 0.294118, "median_excess_return": 5.6e-05, "regime_survival": 0.852941, "best_return": 0.240436, "worst_return": -0.334082, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.004046, "positive_rate": 0.583333, "directional_follow_through": 0.416667, "median_excess_return": -0.012152, "regime_survival": 0.583333, "best_return": 0.034779, "worst_return": -0.369828, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.060659, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.106541, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.049173, "worst_return": -0.368441, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.394822, "energy": 73.426364, "activity_lines": [ 52.154668, 53.079481, 53.991427, 56.624633 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 50.700001, "volume": 1, "typical_volume": 1659.45, "trend": 60.407312, "fair_value": 117.787626, "relative_strength": -42.225206, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.232791, "energy": 82.052167, "activity_lines": [ 51.427335, 52.493462, 53.605585, 55.958771 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 51.529999, "volume": 600, "typical_volume": 1211.05, "trend": 59.646766, "fair_value": 117.16502, "relative_strength": -39.697748, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.701301, "energy": 70.858728, "activity_lines": [ 51.392667, 52.206896, 53.405185, 55.386042 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 51.529999, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1002.6, "trend": 58.889115, "fair_value": 116.542413, "relative_strength": -39.248307, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.156339, "energy": 53.186219, "activity_lines": [ 51.406, 51.935091, 53.223281, 54.862379 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 51.75, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 595.1, "trend": 58.108238, "fair_value": 115.921217, "relative_strength": -35.639267, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.355801, "energy": 48.206776, "activity_lines": [ 51.506666, 51.774364, 53.048753, 54.401791 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }