{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "411c9758-b4f0-4080-9f85-af107ed16ade",
    "symbol": "1603",
    "name": "China Wire & Cable Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "TAI",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-14",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch",
    "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch",
    "confidence": 89.841,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -23.046,
    "architecture_energy": 15.365,
    "architecture_maturity": 69.362,
    "architecture_confidence": 83.41,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 45.94,
        "rotation_up": 25.54,
        "upward_expansion": 14.91,
        "deceleration": 42.55,
        "rotation_down": 36.4,
        "downward_expansion": 64.91
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        29.61,
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        29.618131,
        30.170671
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 31.1,
    "trend_reference": 31.584323,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.015334,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 33.794504,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.079732,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -35.302797,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.136964,
    "excess_performance": -0.578336,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.015334,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.05724,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.079732,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.083823,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.353028,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.109419,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.136964,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.524002,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1934918,
      "relative_activity": 1.133734,
      "balance": 1.524002,
      "dry_up": 0.796285,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.052195,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.262693,
      "from_high_reference": -0.249236,
      "from_low_reference": 0.143382
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 31.584323,
      "fair_value_reference": 33.794504,
      "structural_low": 27.200001,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 19,
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        "positive_rate": 0.578947,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.421053,
        "median_excess_return": -0.018147,
        "regime_survival": 0.789474,
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        "worst_return": -0.086452,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
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        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
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        "worst_return": -0.063515,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.055848,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.101935,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "sufficient": false
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    ],
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "end": "2024-09-20",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "color": "blue",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
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        "fair_value": 33.798891,
        "relative_strength": -37.762157,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 28.700001,
        "volume": 1089548,
        "typical_volume": 1700982.3,
        "trend": 31.745717,
        "fair_value": 33.790249,
        "relative_strength": -39.061159,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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        "direction": -58.455341,
        "energy": 40.112295,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 31.1,
        "volume": 1934918,
        "typical_volume": 1706677.0,
        "trend": 31.584323,
        "fair_value": 33.794504,
        "relative_strength": -35.302797,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -23.04586,
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        "activity_lines": [
          29.61,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}