{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4123ece1-ec36-478a-87cd-4f717a5bf3a7", "symbol": "ECX", "name": "ECARX Holdings Inc. Class A Ordinary shares", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -48.007, "architecture_energy": 32.078, "architecture_maturity": 15.5, "architecture_confidence": 86.728, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 37.99, "rotation_up": 18.03, "upward_expansion": 5.48, "deceleration": 45.14, "rotation_down": 52.0, "downward_expansion": 74.15 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.072647, 1.108349, 1.120259, 1.161411 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 1.1, "trend_reference": 1.284673, "distance_from_trend": -0.143751, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1.946447, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.434868, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -39.143747, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.341317, "excess_performance": -0.528771, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.143751, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.159617, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.434868, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.087383, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.391437, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.053599, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.341317, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.342918, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3831082, "relative_activity": 0.542984, "balance": 2.342918, "dry_up": 0.523504, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.177462, "annualized_volatility": 0.845821, "from_high_reference": -0.592593, "from_low_reference": 0.251707 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.284673, "fair_value_reference": 1.946447, "structural_low": 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"stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -20.341829, "energy": 12.049381, "activity_lines": [ 1.188, 1.164189, 1.153227, 1.248173 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 1.15, "volume": 4038913, "typical_volume": 13444811.8, "trend": 1.372677, "fair_value": 2.042601, "relative_strength": -38.794189, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -21.576267, "energy": 14.933036, "activity_lines": [ 1.175333, 1.165278, 1.14832, 1.232689 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.1, "volume": 4063886, "typical_volume": 12998472.85, "trend": 1.349343, "fair_value": 2.016383, "relative_strength": -38.575455, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -36.608245, "energy": 18.421721, "activity_lines": [ 1.15, 1.156367, 1.140652, 1.215097 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.9999, "volume": 3742775, "typical_volume": 10853618.65, "trend": 1.331007, "fair_value": 1.98946, "relative_strength": -42.671109, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.546821, "energy": 27.386122, "activity_lines": [ 1.1013, 1.129984, 1.126213, 1.192552 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.06, "volume": 3136791, "typical_volume": 8736606.2, "trend": 1.311673, "fair_value": 1.965037, "relative_strength": -38.927279, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.1136, "energy": 32.445175, "activity_lines": [ 1.07664, 1.116165, 1.121188, 1.175068 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.1, "volume": 3831082, "typical_volume": 7055603.25, "trend": 1.284673, "fair_value": 1.946447, "relative_strength": -39.143747, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.006981, "energy": 32.078163, "activity_lines": [ 1.072647, 1.108349, 1.120259, 1.161411 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }