{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4127ff50-0cf1-480c-9faf-2325de4ee2df", "symbol": "001389", "name": "Delton Technology (Guangzhou) Inc.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 8.981, "architecture_energy": 19.638, "architecture_maturity": 44.333, "architecture_confidence": 71.578, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 57.67, "rotation_up": 19.09, "upward_expansion": 43.67, "deceleration": 84.99, "rotation_down": 40.48, "downward_expansion": 33.01 }, "activity_lines": [ 161.67867, 173.917557, 176.561618, 165.328331 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 169.800003, "trend_reference": 147.120214, "distance_from_trend": 0.154158, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 77.174458, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.20021, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 45.239331, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.617297, "excess_performance": 0.609897, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.154158, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.317691, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.20021, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.476308, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.452393, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.260091, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.617297, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.854255, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 47702769, "relative_activity": 1.129325, "balance": 1.854255, "dry_up": 1.260819, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.168322, "annualized_volatility": 0.700464, "from_high_reference": -0.22854, "from_low_reference": 1.769984 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 147.120214, "fair_value_reference": 77.174458, "structural_low": 95.709999, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, 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2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.183596, "energy": 65.96915, "activity_lines": [ 198.674776, 191.573608, 170.352153, 152.218658 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 202.285049, "volume": 9488574, "typical_volume": 38938743.85, "trend": 132.590214, "fair_value": 73.434478, "relative_strength": 70.401016, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.481104, "energy": 58.435969, "activity_lines": [ 201.535701, 194.697228, 175.256246, 157.00283 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 175.259995, "volume": 58106670, "typical_volume": 40548635.35, "trend": 136.101214, "fair_value": 74.297406, "relative_strength": 50.785203, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.059453, "energy": 50.09536, "activity_lines": [ 195.001272, 192.331111, 177.097072, 159.755719 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 176.070007, "volume": 65591332, "typical_volume": 41850523.7, "trend": 139.395547, "fair_value": 75.152638, "relative_strength": 63.434925, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.303652, "energy": 36.070243, "activity_lines": [ 188.613321, 189.893905, 178.645328, 162.334351 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 160.5, "volume": 51194936, "typical_volume": 42057575.65, "trend": 142.136547, "fair_value": 75.863866, "relative_strength": 46.326702, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 31.804852, "energy": 21.078092, "activity_lines": [ 177.148813, 184.56997, 178.442488, 163.695928 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 141.820007, "volume": 48539345, "typical_volume": 42109251.45, "trend": 144.181214, "fair_value": 76.408958, "relative_strength": 29.690314, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": -5.251261, "energy": 19.46752, "activity_lines": [ 162.141006, 176.216582, 176.222649, 163.675506 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 169.800003, "volume": 47702769, "typical_volume": 42240073.55, "trend": 147.120214, "fair_value": 77.174458, "relative_strength": 45.239331, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 8.981114, "energy": 19.637557, "activity_lines": [ 161.67867, 173.917557, 176.561618, 165.328331 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }