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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 77.098, "architecture_energy": 55.458, "architecture_maturity": 85.498, "architecture_confidence": 58.948, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.43, "rotation_up": 47.65, "upward_expansion": 75.84, "deceleration": 71.42, "rotation_down": 29.17, "downward_expansion": 13.84 }, "activity_lines": [ 116.101332, 115.842515, 114.036298, 111.288835 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 118.449997, "trend_reference": 108.172075, "distance_from_trend": 0.095015, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 88.704522, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.335332, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -0.096825, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.145628, "excess_performance": 0.025206, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.095015, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.037729, "read": "Rising" 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105.387737, "fair_value": 86.360665, "relative_strength": 1.431834, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.511517, "energy": 89.159757, "activity_lines": [ 114.445341, 112.903412, 108.863886, 107.099527 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 113.964996, "volume": 213700, "typical_volume": 668775.0, "trend": 105.695462, "fair_value": 86.688451, "relative_strength": -0.659979, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.374643, "energy": 68.802378, "activity_lines": [ 114.426712, 113.380405, 109.612682, 107.652898 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 117.32, "volume": 393200, "typical_volume": 653825.0, "trend": 106.140652, "fair_value": 87.041118, "relative_strength": 1.547048, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.902401, "energy": 78.536822, "activity_lines": [ 115.457893, 114.336944, 110.630659, 108.402868 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 117.370003, "volume": 646500, "typical_volume": 651570.0, "trend": 106.623458, "fair_value": 87.386606, "relative_strength": 1.500748, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.753879, "energy": 81.498648, "activity_lines": [ 116.308686, 115.118575, 111.579147, 109.127343 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 114.379997, "volume": 643600, "typical_volume": 656205.0, "trend": 106.993616, "fair_value": 87.709865, "relative_strength": -0.849108, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.901416, "energy": 63.149634, "activity_lines": [ 115.848656, 115.175087, 112.176078, 109.627764 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 114.419998, "volume": 553500, "typical_volume": 639965.0, "trend": 107.347798, "fair_value": 88.028756, "relative_strength": -0.971341, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.500197, "energy": 58.878336, "activity_lines": [ 115.355666, 115.16891, 112.7207, 110.106886 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 114.970001, "volume": 810500, "typical_volume": 645420.0, "trend": 107.751984, "fair_value": 88.355673, "relative_strength": 0.031647, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.149676, "energy": 46.24827, "activity_lines": [ 115.182, 115.20783, 113.249423, 110.598641 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 118.449997, "volume": 607700, "typical_volume": 641720.0, "trend": 108.172075, "fair_value": 88.704522, "relative_strength": -0.096825, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.097557, "energy": 55.457556, "activity_lines": [ 116.101332, 115.842515, 114.036298, 111.288835 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }