{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "413a9894-ee7e-4637-a3c1-d0b542bccbd3",
    "symbol": "002589",
    "name": "Realcan Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHZ",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "399001.SZ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch",
    "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch",
    "confidence": 93.045,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -19.713,
    "architecture_energy": 18.423,
    "architecture_maturity": 76.287,
    "architecture_confidence": 72.423,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 39.19,
        "rotation_up": 32.83,
        "upward_expansion": 22.41,
        "deceleration": 43.95,
        "rotation_down": 19.69,
        "downward_expansion": 56.41
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        2.808667,
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        2.815662,
        2.919277
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 3.04,
    "trend_reference": 3.06265,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.007395,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 2.97712,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.021121,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -4.54873,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.08982,
    "excess_performance": -0.09722,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.007395,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.058881,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.021121,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.017526,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.045487,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.137142,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.08982,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.861363,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 252529438,
      "relative_activity": 1.08652,
      "balance": 0.861363,
      "dry_up": 0.884944,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.066826,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.324331,
      "from_high_reference": -0.351812,
      "from_low_reference": 0.241802
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 3.06265,
      "fair_value_reference": 2.97712,
      "structural_low": 2.448056,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 28,
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        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
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        "worst_return": -0.246795,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
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        "worst_return": -0.214743,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
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        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "balance",
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      {
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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      {
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        "active": true
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      },
      {
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        "fair_value": 2.988274,
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        "direction": -62.522318,
        "energy": 70.023968,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 2.61,
        "volume": 181691019,
        "typical_volume": 227739538.55,
        "trend": 3.090316,
        "fair_value": 2.983529,
        "relative_strength": -15.975543,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -64.529986,
        "energy": 52.559578,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.641204,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 2.75,
        "volume": 134741371,
        "typical_volume": 227503410.25,
        "trend": 3.06865,
        "fair_value": 2.979681,
        "relative_strength": -9.599809,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -46.503086,
        "energy": 38.433163,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.686667,
          2.666702,
          2.805898,
          2.921126
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 3.04,
        "volume": 252529438,
        "typical_volume": 232420357.3,
        "trend": 3.06265,
        "fair_value": 2.97712,
        "relative_strength": -4.54873,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -19.713094,
        "energy": 18.423161,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.808667,
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          2.815662,
          2.919277
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}