{ "ticker": { "uuid": "413ed6dd-46db-47dc-b4f9-f56a78da23ba", "symbol": "INR", "name": "Infinity Natural Resources, Inc.", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -43.664, "architecture_energy": 32.198, "architecture_maturity": 47.802, "architecture_confidence": 89.063, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 35.84, "rotation_up": 26.52, "upward_expansion": 16.61, "deceleration": 45.47, "rotation_down": 34.68, "downward_expansion": 64.28 }, "activity_lines": [ 13.049333, 12.958727, 13.571286, 14.396516 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 12.98, "trend_reference": 15.176333, "distance_from_trend": -0.144721, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 15.367375, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.155353, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -20.116394, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.248408, "excess_performance": -0.374033, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.144721, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.016737, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.155353, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.135229, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.201164, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.098471, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.248408, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.364459, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1095966, "relative_activity": 0.620148, "balance": 0.364459, "dry_up": 0.837296, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.098913, "annualized_volatility": 0.332343, "from_high_reference": -0.337248, "from_low_reference": 0.166217 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 15.176333, "fair_value_reference": 15.367375, "structural_low": 11.9006, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-08-07", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2025-01-31", "close": 21.07, "volume": 5877702, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-02-07", "close": 21.3, "volume": 2434480, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-02-14", "close": 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null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 13.16, "volume": 1656041, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 12.98, "volume": 1095966, "typical_volume": 1767264.0, "trend": 15.176333, "fair_value": 15.367375, "relative_strength": -20.116394, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.664075, "energy": 32.198377, "activity_lines": [ 13.049333, 12.958727, 13.571286, 14.396516 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }