{ "ticker": { "uuid": "41552e42-e2cb-4beb-9485-d79392004f81", "symbol": "CPNREIT", "name": "CPN Retail Growth Leasehold REIT", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 88.736, "architecture_energy": 74.66, "architecture_maturity": 81.186, "architecture_confidence": 74.696, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 4.2, "rotation_up": 75.78, "upward_expansion": 87.67, "deceleration": 61.74, "rotation_down": 17.73, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 13.386667, 13.192727, 12.826414, 12.472627 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 13.7, "trend_reference": 11.979045, "distance_from_trend": 0.143664, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 10.158468, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.348629, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 4.325655, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.269827, "excess_performance": 0.077502, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.143664, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.073277, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.348629, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.122902, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.043257, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.080741, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.269827, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 8.165933, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 9660800, "relative_activity": 1.446145, "balance": 8.165933, "dry_up": 1.216649, "accumulation_observations": 6, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.022236, "annualized_volatility": 0.107956, "from_high_reference": -0.007246, "from_low_reference": 0.353684 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 11.979045, "fair_value_reference": 10.158468, "structural_low": 10.597915, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": 0.008621, "positive_rate": 0.521739, "directional_follow_through": 0.521739, "median_excess_return": 0.000798, "regime_survival": 0.652174, "best_return": 0.169347, "worst_return": -0.115702, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.020872, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.010822, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.116759, "worst_return": -0.325929, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.023849, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.025344, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.139604, "worst_return": -0.419838, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 86.654834, "energy": 86.896988, "activity_lines": [ 13.073333, 12.897693, 12.505788, 12.169904 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 13.0, "volume": 8152100, "typical_volume": 6901920.0, "trend": 11.798152, "fair_value": 10.092201, "relative_strength": -2.737503, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.559516, "energy": 66.614006, "activity_lines": [ 13.08, 12.945858, 12.586809, 12.252198 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 13.4, "volume": 6433300, "typical_volume": 6615280.0, "trend": 11.88519, "fair_value": 10.124373, "relative_strength": 1.397477, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.417344, "energy": 72.617255, "activity_lines": [ 13.2, 13.050909, 12.697216, 12.355543 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 13.7, "volume": 9660800, "typical_volume": 6680380.0, "trend": 11.979045, "fair_value": 10.158468, "relative_strength": 4.325655, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 88.73627, "energy": 74.660449, "activity_lines": [ 13.386667, 13.192727, 12.826414, 12.472627 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }