{ "ticker": { "uuid": "416f0dd9-c400-437c-80fc-a261e3dc014c", "symbol": "GACL", "name": "Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta Paris-Aligned Sustainable World Equity UCITS ETF Class USD Accumulation", "exchange": "GER", "country": "DE", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GDAXI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 81.523, "architecture_energy": 66.061, "architecture_maturity": 88.733, "architecture_confidence": 74.341, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.63, "rotation_up": 52.56, "upward_expansion": 82.97, "deceleration": 71.38, "rotation_down": 29.06, "downward_expansion": 11.97 }, "activity_lines": [ 45.396665, 45.238544, 44.387928, 43.351763 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 46.264999, "trend_reference": 42.190833, "distance_from_trend": 0.096565, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 36.351442, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.272714, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 4.514959, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.150298, "excess_performance": 0.085659, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.096565, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.041668, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.272714, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.060065, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.04515, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.035352, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.150298, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.432787, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 16, "relative_activity": 0.06358, "balance": 4.432787, "dry_up": 0.21061, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.020135, "annualized_volatility": 0.116563, "from_high_reference": -0.003446, "from_low_reference": 0.23902 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 42.190833, "fair_value_reference": 36.351442, "structural_low": 37.595001, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": 0.004858, "positive_rate": 0.722222, "directional_follow_through": 0.722222, "median_excess_return": -0.004605, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 0.057404, "worst_return": -0.0681, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.048461, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": 0.019683, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.074216, "worst_return": -0.042406, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.06672, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.066972, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.116293, "worst_return": -0.064384, "sufficient": false }, { 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expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.481587, "energy": 89.779142, "activity_lines": [ 44.923, 44.389182, 42.961667, 42.178849 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 45.689999, "volume": 46, "typical_volume": 245.4, "trend": 41.543666, "fair_value": 35.944102, "relative_strength": 9.559999, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.808287, "energy": 91.258951, "activity_lines": [ 45.258333, 44.728091, 43.327143, 42.459118 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 44.919998, "volume": 50, "typical_volume": 247.9, "trend": 41.706166, "fair_value": 36.043686, "relative_strength": 8.368802, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.756091, "energy": 83.682853, "activity_lines": [ 45.219999, 44.853272, 43.594833, 42.676946 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 45.064999, "volume": 4, "typical_volume": 247.6, "trend": 41.8675, "fair_value": 36.14109, "relative_strength": 7.232871, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.800347, "energy": 66.885632, "activity_lines": [ 45.182999, 44.960818, 43.855047, 42.893645 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 44.724998, "volume": 142, "typical_volume": 251.5, "trend": 42.021666, "fair_value": 36.240577, "relative_strength": 4.010156, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.298744, "energy": 59.437198, "activity_lines": [ 45.026332, 44.969363, 44.060142, 43.078 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 46.264999, "volume": 16, "typical_volume": 251.65, "trend": 42.190833, "fair_value": 36.351442, "relative_strength": 4.514959, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 81.523367, "energy": 66.06125, "activity_lines": [ 45.396665, 45.238544, 44.387928, 43.351763 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }