{ "ticker": { "uuid": "419f04e9-d812-44f3-a240-bf1b57be86b6", "symbol": "600866", "name": "Star Lake Bioscience Co., Inc.Zhaoqing Guangdong", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -55.203, "architecture_energy": 55.95, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.38, "rotation_up": 27.93, "upward_expansion": 22.5, "deceleration": 46.98, "rotation_down": 46.62, "downward_expansion": 72.5 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.489235, 4.465529, 4.859992, 5.408242 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 4.43, "trend_reference": 6.079847, "distance_from_trend": -0.271363, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 5.857765, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.243739, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -32.942377, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.402965, "excess_performance": -0.359761, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.271363, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.118905, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.243739, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.27203, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.329424, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.08528, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.402965, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.397857, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 122558989, "relative_activity": 1.253808, "balance": 0.397857, "dry_up": 1.279477, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.081862, "annualized_volatility": 0.394238, "from_high_reference": -0.481871, "from_low_reference": 0.088048 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.079847, "fair_value_reference": 5.857765, "structural_low": 4.071513, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": -0.005818, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.545455, "median_excess_return": -0.00788, "regime_survival": 0.863636, "best_return": 0.875878, "worst_return": -0.201987, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.061604, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.038331, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.457082, "worst_return": -0.266556, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.137931, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.088316, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.532258, "worst_return": -0.406485, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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5.865719, "relative_strength": -29.090316, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.982479, "energy": 67.465817, "activity_lines": [ 4.405552, 4.560734, 5.210784, 5.747911 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.46, "volume": 159200478, "typical_volume": 108109623.8, "trend": 6.240514, "fair_value": 5.862992, "relative_strength": -31.946338, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.668444, "energy": 64.688418, "activity_lines": [ 4.421857, 4.50409, 5.075091, 5.627878 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.57, "volume": 90341900, "typical_volume": 100157179.55, "trend": 6.163847, "fair_value": 5.861141, "relative_strength": -29.786484, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.355162, "energy": 58.758879, "activity_lines": [ 4.495496, 4.490174, 4.965923, 5.520103 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.43, "volume": 122558989, "typical_volume": 97749412.2, "trend": 6.079847, "fair_value": 5.857765, "relative_strength": -32.942377, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.203459, "energy": 55.949555, "activity_lines": [ 4.489235, 4.465529, 4.859992, 5.408242 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }