{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "41a00aa2-1a11-4ca4-a79b-a6ed8049cafb",
    "symbol": "RATO-B",
    "name": "Ratos AB (publ)",
    "exchange": "STO",
    "country": "SE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^OMX",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 48.459,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 49.468,
    "architecture_energy": 66.248,
    "architecture_maturity": 10.497,
    "architecture_confidence": 60.256,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 24.76,
        "rotation_up": 71.91,
        "upward_expansion": 60.89,
        "deceleration": 23.85,
        "rotation_down": 16.48,
        "downward_expansion": 21.56
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        36.456,
        35.484,
        34.786667,
        34.565654
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 37.580002,
    "trend_reference": 34.75708,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.081219,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 32.847575,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.144072,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -4.696004,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.013426,
    "excess_performance": -0.07492,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.081219,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.004763,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.144072,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.123752,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.04696,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.111863,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.013426,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.185932,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1322453,
      "relative_activity": 0.912876,
      "balance": 1.185932,
      "dry_up": 1.186697,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.045646,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.284057,
      "from_high_reference": -0.023252,
      "from_low_reference": 0.253233
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 34.75708,
      "fair_value_reference": 32.847575,
      "structural_low": 29.98645,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.031689,
        "positive_rate": 0.2,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.2,
        "median_excess_return": -0.031422,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.038396,
        "worst_return": -0.146808,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.088858,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.012846,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.12112,
        "worst_return": -0.287213,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.077682,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.021969,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.065719,
        "worst_return": -0.26504,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.032837,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.102658,
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        "best_return": 0.184265,
        "worst_return": -0.212411,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-10-04",
        "end": "2025-01-31",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.07868,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
      },
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "return": -0.066667,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-10-17",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.086371,
        "active": false
      },
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "color": "blue",
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        "active": false
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 36.720001,
        "volume": 2380516,
        "typical_volume": 1587162.3,
        "trend": 34.762964,
        "fair_value": 32.739795,
        "relative_strength": -2.865021,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "direction": 9.498702,
        "energy": 17.807411,
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          34.696,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 35.919998,
        "volume": 1681811,
        "typical_volume": 1545316.65,
        "trend": 34.78447,
        "fair_value": 32.769843,
        "relative_strength": -6.263341,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 21.669237,
        "energy": 35.566186,
        "activity_lines": [
          35.289333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 35.98,
        "volume": 1491738,
        "typical_volume": 1510460.8,
        "trend": 34.781791,
        "fair_value": 32.804834,
        "relative_strength": -7.188582,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 31.555008,
        "energy": 48.74014,
        "activity_lines": [
          35.698666,
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          34.442862,
          34.385124
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 37.580002,
        "volume": 1322453,
        "typical_volume": 1448667.0,
        "trend": 34.75708,
        "fair_value": 32.847575,
        "relative_strength": -4.696004,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 49.468491,
        "energy": 66.248061,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.456,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}