{ "ticker": { "uuid": "41b5bd86-a1a8-48b2-837c-2d7c0f3b3936", "symbol": "002553", "name": "Jiangsu NanFang Precision Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.76, "architecture_energy": 63.344, "architecture_maturity": 82.118, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.56, "rotation_up": 26.34, "upward_expansion": 12.0, "deceleration": 56.66, "rotation_down": 53.79, "downward_expansion": 83.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 15.295333, 15.71293, 17.574064, 19.471328 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 15.9, "trend_reference": 22.072013, "distance_from_trend": -0.279631, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 17.43636, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.088112, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -38.845571, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.422867, "excess_performance": -0.430267, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.279631, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.141641, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.088112, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.439442, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.388456, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.100605, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.422867, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.463292, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 50883949, "relative_activity": 1.349159, "balance": 0.463292, "dry_up": 1.079545, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.114597, "annualized_volatility": 0.476773, "from_high_reference": -0.564384, "from_low_reference": 0.161432 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 22.072013, "fair_value_reference": 17.43636, "structural_low": 13.69, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": -0.001592, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.003446, "regime_survival": 0.791667, "best_return": 0.473846, "worst_return": -0.292276, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.041216, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.017611, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.831361, "worst_return": -0.264844, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.181157, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.201274, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.47535, "worst_return": -0.213475, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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16.705434, 19.065403, 20.943008 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 14.01, "volume": 32659570, "typical_volume": 36664950.0, "trend": 22.81868, "fair_value": 17.4184, "relative_strength": -45.244908, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.248215, "energy": 70.751183, "activity_lines": [ 15.040667, 16.032405, 18.398734, 20.349458 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 15.76, "volume": 40250201, "typical_volume": 37022275.3, "trend": 22.452347, "fair_value": 17.427775, "relative_strength": -36.82715, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.860631, "energy": 65.411662, "activity_lines": [ 15.159333, 15.817346, 17.957066, 19.89406 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 15.9, "volume": 50883949, "typical_volume": 37715311.3, "trend": 22.072013, "fair_value": 17.43636, "relative_strength": -38.845571, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.759822, "energy": 63.344108, "activity_lines": [ 15.295333, 15.71293, 17.574064, 19.471328 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }