{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "41b96c9e-56c1-4591-892b-90a121cc5c40",
    "symbol": "BMEA",
    "name": "Biomea Fusion Inc",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 69.815,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -52.995,
    "architecture_energy": 46.872,
    "architecture_maturity": 9.027,
    "architecture_confidence": 95.237,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 40.58,
        "rotation_up": 18.38,
        "upward_expansion": 10.14,
        "deceleration": 39.96,
        "rotation_down": 49.76,
        "downward_expansion": 81.14
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        1.240667,
        1.263455,
        1.335571,
        1.36886
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Stable",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 1.26,
    "trend_reference": 1.381333,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.087838,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 6.093667,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.793228,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -25.013975,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.032787,
    "excess_performance": -0.154667,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.087838,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.004851,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.793228,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.02011,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.25014,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.051731,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.032787,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.641646,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2725860,
      "relative_activity": 0.455438,
      "balance": 0.641646,
      "dry_up": 0.432856,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.14942,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.844182,
      "from_high_reference": -0.578595,
      "from_low_reference": 0.44512
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 1.381333,
      "fair_value_reference": 6.093667,
      "structural_low": 1.07,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 24,
        "median_return": -0.0381,
        "positive_rate": 0.458333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.541667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.024277,
        "regime_survival": 0.791667,
        "best_return": 0.552632,
        "worst_return": -0.572243,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": -0.065346,
        "positive_rate": 0.3,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.7,
        "median_excess_return": -0.137553,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.904467,
        "worst_return": -0.503401,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.167462,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.268621,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 3.336228,
        "worst_return": -0.585034,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.601976,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.877805,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.758065,
        "worst_return": -0.696145,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2024-05-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.020408,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2024-09-06",
        "tenure": "Established",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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      {
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-01-24",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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      {
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 3424366,
        "typical_volume": 6429643.2,
        "trend": 1.394667,
        "fair_value": 6.450462,
        "relative_strength": -23.023632,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -11.951181,
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        "activity_lines": [
          1.315333,
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          1.393286,
          1.40071
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 1.25,
        "volume": 1823378,
        "typical_volume": 6326094.8,
        "trend": 1.392333,
        "fair_value": 6.322064,
        "relative_strength": -22.728318,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -42.069337,
        "energy": 19.841914,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.298,
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          1.375524,
          1.391376
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 1.17,
        "volume": 2389210,
        "typical_volume": 6192747.45,
        "trend": 1.386667,
        "fair_value": 6.205782,
        "relative_strength": -27.393116,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -61.053097,
        "energy": 43.603351,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.249333,
          1.266182,
          1.35081,
          1.377032
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 1.26,
        "volume": 2725860,
        "typical_volume": 5985141.2,
        "trend": 1.381333,
        "fair_value": 6.093667,
        "relative_strength": -25.013975,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -52.994785,
        "energy": 46.872033,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.240667,
          1.263455,
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          1.36886
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}