{ "ticker": { "uuid": "41d6205d-bcdd-46bd-a033-c2c6593922fa", "symbol": "EA", "name": "Energy Absolute Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 35.659, "architecture_energy": 16.537, "architecture_maturity": 36.682, "architecture_confidence": 79.29, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 46.77, "rotation_up": 32.26, "upward_expansion": 59.73, "deceleration": 86.17, "rotation_down": 25.46, "downward_expansion": 14.4 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.014667, 3.021455, 3.006, 2.946925 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 3.06, "trend_reference": 2.893333, "distance_from_trend": 0.057604, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 14.406009, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.787589, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -8.854351, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.116788, "excess_performance": -0.075537, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.057604, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.038775, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.787589, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.073115, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.088544, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.102051, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.116788, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.959931, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 248198900, "relative_activity": 0.769689, "balance": 3.959931, "dry_up": 0.893804, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.084967, "annualized_volatility": 0.477274, "from_high_reference": -0.21134, "from_low_reference": 0.275 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.893333, "fair_value_reference": 14.406009, "structural_low": 2.4, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.007407, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.006073, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.047244, "worst_return": -0.117647, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.104575, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.053948, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.472441, "worst_return": -0.137352, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.074183, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.10785, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.420775, "worst_return": -0.369819, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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"Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.67213, "energy": 20.283989, "activity_lines": [ 3.017333, 3.064364, 2.934095, 2.893763 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 3.06, "volume": 352577400, "typical_volume": 311986795.0, "trend": 2.854667, "fair_value": 15.817909, "relative_strength": -10.831507, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 32.650823, "energy": 21.847555, "activity_lines": [ 3.006667, 3.073818, 2.952381, 2.907871 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 3.12, "volume": 496867600, "typical_volume": 320678105.0, "trend": 2.866, "fair_value": 15.476327, "relative_strength": -9.697442, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.391941, "energy": 21.562951, "activity_lines": [ 3.037333, 3.086545, 2.976857, 2.924989 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.98, "volume": 297415900, "typical_volume": 320182365.0, "trend": 2.873333, "fair_value": 15.114733, "relative_strength": -13.583786, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 33.6511, "energy": 18.206999, "activity_lines": [ 3.024, 3.065455, 2.987524, 2.932344 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.92, "volume": 110405200, "typical_volume": 316965500.0, "trend": 2.880667, "fair_value": 14.760719, "relative_strength": -13.959103, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.452795, "energy": 14.696102, "activity_lines": [ 2.998667, 3.027636, 2.990762, 2.935355 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.06, "volume": 248198900, "typical_volume": 322466560.0, "trend": 2.893333, "fair_value": 14.406009, "relative_strength": -8.854351, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.658917, "energy": 16.536527, "activity_lines": [ 3.014667, 3.021455, 3.006, 2.946925 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }