{ "ticker": { "uuid": "41dc7e1a-edf2-4ca4-8a5f-c10ef9dbb0af", "symbol": "REK", "name": "PROSHARES TRUST SHORT REAL ESTATE FD ETF(POST REV SPLIT)", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -53.636, "architecture_energy": 36.631, "architecture_maturity": 40.848, "architecture_confidence": 92.273, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.31, "rotation_up": 22.45, "upward_expansion": 4.16, "deceleration": 52.59, "rotation_down": 47.16, "downward_expansion": 75.16 }, "activity_lines": [ 15.293573, 15.328576, 15.465408, 15.672666 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 15.3936, "trend_reference": 15.92957, "distance_from_trend": -0.033646, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 16.75946, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.081498, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -15.908378, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.068173, "excess_performance": -0.193798, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.033646, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.032994, "read": "Falling" 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"activity_lines": [ 15.432981, 15.488672, 15.695318, 15.88711 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 15.2171, "volume": 191453, "typical_volume": 61970.65, "trend": 16.112136, "fair_value": 16.805677, "relative_strength": -14.782765, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.163236, "energy": 43.381034, "activity_lines": [ 15.360374, 15.428715, 15.628076, 15.824901 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 15.04, "volume": 26686, "typical_volume": 60100.95, "trend": 16.04533, "fair_value": 16.790567, "relative_strength": -14.928294, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.066688, "energy": 47.188973, "activity_lines": [ 15.233507, 15.342189, 15.547115, 15.755731 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 15.35, "volume": 19485, "typical_volume": 55904.6, "trend": 15.98577, "fair_value": 16.774507, "relative_strength": -13.66492, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.301598, "energy": 39.261153, "activity_lines": [ 15.261607, 15.329812, 15.501432, 15.710871 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 15.3936, "volume": 24510, "typical_volume": 53175.9, "trend": 15.92957, "fair_value": 16.75946, "relative_strength": -15.908378, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.636246, "energy": 36.630713, "activity_lines": [ 15.293573, 15.328576, 15.465408, 15.672666 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }