{ "ticker": { "uuid": "41df7326-814f-4e93-8402-dfb3021767af", "symbol": "688257", "name": "Shareate Tools Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 72.144, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -7.872, "architecture_energy": 29.217, "architecture_maturity": 62.077, "architecture_confidence": 58.957, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 46.84, "rotation_up": 14.71, "upward_expansion": 24.46, "deceleration": 76.14, "rotation_down": 63.51, "downward_expansion": 35.12 }, "activity_lines": [ 60.702, 73.339839, 72.810869, 70.197803 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 63.0, "trend_reference": 65.51972, "distance_from_trend": -0.038457, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 24.179714, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.60549, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 33.601107, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.163005, "excess_performance": 0.206209, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.038457, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.344306, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.60549, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.171524, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.336011, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.17977, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.163005, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.829326, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 109999954, "relative_activity": 1.565169, "balance": 0.829326, "dry_up": 1.432538, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.265344, "annualized_volatility": 1.066123, "from_high_reference": -0.455017, "from_low_reference": 2.925142 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 65.51972, "fair_value_reference": 24.179714, "structural_low": 46.050276, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.046869, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.033396, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.405601, "worst_return": -0.058435, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.077188, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.01355, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.213636, "worst_return": -0.05613, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.008975, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.047325, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.307314, "worst_return": -0.037164, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }