{ "ticker": { "uuid": "41e87498-3b14-4d2e-b43c-5ac300780a54", "symbol": "SHMD", "name": "SCHMID Group N.V. Class A Ordinary Shares", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.138, "architecture_energy": 61.444, "architecture_maturity": 32.0, "architecture_confidence": 87.824, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 9.49, "rotation_up": 12.8, "upward_expansion": 12.94, "deceleration": 39.06, "rotation_down": 68.06, "downward_expansion": 88.6 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.347667, 4.716364, 5.34619, 5.699828 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 4.72, "trend_reference": 6.334, "distance_from_trend": -0.254815, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4.222552, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.117807, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -23.683269, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.547025, "excess_performance": -0.734479, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.254815, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.032559, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.117807, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.355818, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.236833, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.299868, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.547025, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.011354, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1627934, "relative_activity": 0.377971, "balance": 1.011354, "dry_up": 0.503243, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.275279, "annualized_volatility": 0.962014, "from_high_reference": -0.556808, "from_low_reference": 1.36 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.334, "fair_value_reference": 4.222552, "structural_low": 3.6, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.266187, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.231652, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.266187, "worst_return": -0.266187, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.138477, "energy": 61.443989, "activity_lines": [ 4.347667, 4.716364, 5.34619, 5.699828 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }