{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "41f15aa2-1388-4695-9f66-7c1c1c0dc4b9",
    "symbol": "IDJG",
    "name": "iShares Euro Total Market Growth Large UCITS ETF EUR (Dist)",
    "exchange": "AMS",
    "country": "NL",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^AEX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 84.07,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 50.369,
    "architecture_energy": 26.952,
    "architecture_maturity": 60.809,
    "architecture_confidence": 80.492,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 28.76,
        "rotation_up": 30.02,
        "upward_expansion": 58.67,
        "deceleration": 88.06,
        "rotation_down": 28.18,
        "downward_expansion": 20.01
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        70.966667,
        71.436961,
        70.539635,
        69.278998
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 72.68,
    "trend_reference": 68.141976,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.066597,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 60.37483,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.203813,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -2.108439,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.086432,
    "excess_performance": -0.03023,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.066597,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.036041,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.203813,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.056589,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.021084,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.010302,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.086432,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.982849,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 11728,
      "relative_activity": 1.217924,
      "balance": 0.982849,
      "dry_up": 1.748533,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.032349,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.215182,
      "from_high_reference": -0.021672,
      "from_low_reference": 0.220282
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 68.141976,
      "fair_value_reference": 60.37483,
      "structural_low": 59.560001,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.012978,
        "positive_rate": 0.625,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.625,
        "median_excess_return": 0.007976,
        "regime_survival": 0.125,
        "best_return": 0.111194,
        "worst_return": -0.053645,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.06012,
        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": 0.003916,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.108991,
        "worst_return": -0.120503,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.070347,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.006265,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.121601,
        "worst_return": -0.073899,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.06861,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.005284,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.171803,
        "worst_return": -0.170428,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-12-13",
        "end": "2025-01-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.035673,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-01-24",
        "end": "2025-03-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.009802,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-03-28",
        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-05-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.097136,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-16",
        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.016231,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-05-30",
        "end": "2025-06-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.034567,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-06-27",
        "end": "2025-09-26",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.017292,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-10-03",
        "end": "2025-11-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.056483,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-11-28",
        "end": "2025-12-19",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.00778,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-12-26",
        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.052027,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-03-27",
        "end": "2026-04-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.124421,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-04-24",
        "end": "2026-05-22",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.058833,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-05-29",
        "end": "2026-07-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.000869,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-07-31",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.040813,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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        "direction": 17.419172,
        "energy": 19.687193,
        "activity_lines": [
          65.783911,
          64.774367,
          65.473919,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 65.800293,
        "volume": 2684,
        "typical_volume": 21928.75,
        "trend": 65.325325,
        "fair_value": 58.717176,
        "relative_strength": -3.239732,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 18.883829,
        "energy": 24.6516,
        "activity_lines": [
          66.16016,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 67.478317,
        "volume": 8606,
        "typical_volume": 21542.45,
        "trend": 65.438135,
        "fair_value": 58.818763,
        "relative_strength": -1.078204,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 29.632953,
        "energy": 27.734245,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 66.405968,
        "volume": 4238,
        "typical_volume": 21702.7,
        "trend": 65.483595,
        "fair_value": 58.905079,
        "relative_strength": -1.924645,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 48.60134,
        "energy": 29.892198,
        "activity_lines": [
          66.641297,
          65.761527,
          65.685934,
          65.666617
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 70.050003,
        "volume": 11322,
        "typical_volume": 22104.15,
        "trend": 65.618919,
        "fair_value": 59.018735,
        "relative_strength": 0.036297,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.840109,
        "energy": 50.097012,
        "activity_lines": [
          67.737811,
          66.719977,
          66.066521,
          65.961224
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 70.179039,
        "volume": 3629,
        "typical_volume": 21854.85,
        "trend": 65.771518,
        "fair_value": 59.1316,
        "relative_strength": 1.192122,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.375722,
        "energy": 59.157357,
        "activity_lines": [
          68.738003,
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          66.437685,
          66.255426
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 70.625847,
        "volume": 2715,
        "typical_volume": 21280.4,
        "trend": 66.006212,
        "fair_value": 59.250689,
        "relative_strength": 1.230762,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.423649,
        "energy": 69.382102,
        "activity_lines": [
          69.619044,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 72.353516,
        "volume": 705,
        "typical_volume": 14226.3,
        "trend": 66.268222,
        "fair_value": 59.370821,
        "relative_strength": -0.162311,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.689209,
        "energy": 80.784981,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 73.82,
        "volume": 660,
        "typical_volume": 10072.35,
        "trend": 66.661618,
        "fair_value": 59.513273,
        "relative_strength": 2.080687,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.855586,
        "energy": 86.601144,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 71.709999,
        "volume": 1456,
        "typical_volume": 9293.6,
        "trend": 66.919809,
        "fair_value": 59.632165,
        "relative_strength": 0.778334,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.144714,
        "energy": 79.927938,
        "activity_lines": [
          72.154752,
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          68.523438,
          67.791025
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 74.169998,
        "volume": 442,
        "typical_volume": 9162.45,
        "trend": 67.231722,
        "fair_value": 59.781251,
        "relative_strength": 2.046936,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.181016,
        "energy": 85.672205,
        "activity_lines": [
          72.965524,
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          68.258779
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 71.459999,
        "volume": 5866,
        "typical_volume": 9341.35,
        "trend": 67.471646,
        "fair_value": 59.896659,
        "relative_strength": -1.72416,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.951539,
        "energy": 69.493313,
        "activity_lines": [
          72.6069,
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          69.543069,
          68.531571
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 69.800003,
        "volume": 9449,
        "typical_volume": 9591.8,
        "trend": 67.649581,
        "fair_value": 60.008513,
        "relative_strength": -4.567714,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 48.73894,
        "energy": 39.737031,
        "activity_lines": [
          71.639334,
          71.649165,
          69.737684,
          68.681788
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 70.239998,
        "volume": 17565,
        "typical_volume": 9671.45,
        "trend": 67.849504,
        "fair_value": 60.117856,
        "relative_strength": -3.699339,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 43.916779,
        "energy": 32.589448,
        "activity_lines": [
          70.988666,
          71.500539,
          69.969037,
          68.848912
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 69.830002,
        "volume": 28608,
        "typical_volume": 10100.9,
        "trend": 67.994163,
        "fair_value": 60.235735,
        "relative_strength": -4.958826,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 34.882623,
        "energy": 24.730925,
        "activity_lines": [
          70.44,
          71.20766,
          70.132876,
          68.976686
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 72.68,
        "volume": 11728,
        "typical_volume": 9629.5,
        "trend": 68.141976,
        "fair_value": 60.37483,
        "relative_strength": -2.108439,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 50.368746,
        "energy": 26.952301,
        "activity_lines": [
          70.966667,
          71.436961,
          70.539635,
          69.278998
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}