{ "ticker": { "uuid": "41f32a4e-c04d-459d-a6f7-c24659ebb52d", "symbol": "300906", "name": "Jiangxi Everbright Measurement And Control Technology Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.548, "architecture_energy": 56.875, "architecture_maturity": 56.993, "architecture_confidence": 95.098, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.05, "rotation_up": 23.75, "upward_expansion": 9.68, "deceleration": 60.01, "rotation_down": 56.97, "downward_expansion": 83.01 }, "activity_lines": [ 24.518667, 24.861273, 27.517605, 29.181561 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 26.110001, "trend_reference": 31.400229, "distance_from_trend": -0.168477, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 25.902599, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.008007, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -21.298731, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.243846, "excess_performance": -0.251246, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.168477, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.088181, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.008007, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.430676, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.212987, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.157182, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.243846, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.377263, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7330438, "relative_activity": 1.014577, "balance": 0.377263, "dry_up": 1.149859, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.100653, "annualized_volatility": 0.37007, "from_high_reference": -0.370843, "from_low_reference": 0.260744 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 31.400229, "fair_value_reference": 25.902599, "structural_low": 20.709999, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.024077, "positive_rate": 0.533333, "directional_follow_through": 0.466667, "median_excess_return": 0.009091, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.165347, "worst_return": -0.170775, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.074798, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.022246, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.374752, "worst_return": -0.121039, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.021472, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.029084, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.20099, "worst_return": -0.083895, "sufficient": false 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"2026-07-10", "close": 24.049999, "volume": 6312300, "typical_volume": 6697737.55, "trend": 32.983562, "fair_value": 25.893481, "relative_strength": -32.977056, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.644512, "energy": 91.735344, "activity_lines": [ 25.422, 27.409135, 29.944783, 31.299254 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 23.299999, "volume": 6884200, "typical_volume": 6803722.55, "trend": 32.599229, "fair_value": 25.888253, "relative_strength": -28.193628, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.154273, "energy": 90.432859, "activity_lines": [ 24.52, 26.285978, 29.17337, 30.674508 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 22.02, "volume": 6329192, "typical_volume": 6743246.7, "trend": 32.100229, "fair_value": 25.878327, "relative_strength": -31.890725, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -82.814203, "energy": 90.392626, "activity_lines": [ 23.485333, 25.175427, 28.341527, 29.991977 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 25.129999, "volume": 12687636, "typical_volume": 7096936.4, "trend": 31.701229, "fair_value": 25.881814, "relative_strength": -20.676986, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.856275, "energy": 64.964472, "activity_lines": [ 23.834666, 24.850454, 27.863685, 29.542285 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 26.110001, "volume": 7330438, "typical_volume": 7225118.3, "trend": 31.400229, "fair_value": 25.902599, "relative_strength": -21.298731, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.548316, "energy": 56.875383, "activity_lines": [ 24.518667, 24.861273, 27.517605, 29.181561 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }