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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 74.079, "architecture_energy": 57.233, "architecture_maturity": 28.6, "architecture_confidence": 70.005, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 35.32, "rotation_up": 54.79, "upward_expansion": 76.06, "deceleration": 69.16, "rotation_down": 23.28, "downward_expansion": 14.06 }, "activity_lines": [ 1184.680013, 1181.11407, 1119.71209, 1108.757698 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 1209.02002, "trend_reference": 1106.324375, "distance_from_trend": 0.092826, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 747.565496, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.617276, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 12.546864, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.015051, "excess_performance": 0.0721, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.092826, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.013864, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.617276, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.306798, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.125469, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.332231, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.015051, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.62585, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 10, "relative_activity": 0.238949, "balance": 1.62585, "dry_up": 1.839904, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.035831, "annualized_volatility": 0.321666, "from_high_reference": -0.006859, "from_low_reference": 0.492428 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1106.324375, "fair_value_reference": 747.565496, "structural_low": 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"Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 31.457586, "energy": 71.457159, "activity_lines": [ 1191.770011, 1147.059178, 1090.934375, 1093.12577 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1161.5, "volume": 83, "typical_volume": 32.8, "trend": 1101.04306, "fair_value": 737.691965, "relative_strength": 7.364676, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 38.133961, "energy": 63.238323, "activity_lines": [ 1182.30463, 1158.642162, 1098.643254, 1097.041832 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1175.300049, "volume": 199, "typical_volume": 41.35, "trend": 1101.681073, "fair_value": 742.520654, "relative_strength": 6.278413, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.582062, "energy": 52.97791, "activity_lines": [ 1176.53134, 1168.429654, 1107.614798, 1101.832605 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1209.02002, "volume": 10, "typical_volume": 41.85, "trend": 1106.324375, "fair_value": 747.565496, "relative_strength": 12.546864, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.078651, "energy": 57.232706, "activity_lines": [ 1184.680013, 1181.11407, 1119.71209, 1108.757698 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }