{ "ticker": { "uuid": "42025b9a-dd05-468e-8826-85f214742f70", "symbol": "ARIHANTCAP", "name": "Arihant Capital Markets Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 89.522, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 31.421, "architecture_energy": 49.974, "architecture_maturity": 6.967, "architecture_confidence": 48.867, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 42.04, "rotation_up": 62.81, "upward_expansion": 57.91, "deceleration": 25.17, "rotation_down": 17.72, "downward_expansion": 18.58 }, "activity_lines": [ 77.060666, 74.9, 72.542999, 72.033505 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 75.470001, "trend_reference": 72.770999, "distance_from_trend": 0.037089, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 80.096421, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.057761, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -10.247746, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.046253, "excess_performance": -0.002544, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.037089, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.093208, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.057761, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.02314, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.102477, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.013145, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.046253, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.335257, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 745891, "relative_activity": 0.550663, "balance": 1.335257, "dry_up": 1.497386, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.076505, "annualized_volatility": 0.400687, "from_high_reference": -0.371083, "from_low_reference": 0.324732 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 72.770999, "fair_value_reference": 80.096421, "structural_low": 56.970001, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.101569, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.117301, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.330563, "worst_return": -0.07612, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.429726, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.403424, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.500859, "worst_return": 0.283215, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.348559, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.344883, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.456721, "worst_return": 0.03458, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"typical_volume": 1337957.6, "trend": 73.711666, "fair_value": 79.831085, "relative_strength": -0.598621, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 41.456795, "energy": 49.201419, "activity_lines": [ 75.692667, 72.954, 71.285952, 71.595161 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 78.339996, "volume": 1981915, "typical_volume": 1373189.65, "trend": 73.303999, "fair_value": 79.958819, "relative_strength": -6.576208, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 37.17658, "energy": 54.162171, "activity_lines": [ 77.148666, 74.28709, 72.073047, 71.893763 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 75.470001, "volume": 745891, "typical_volume": 1354533.8, "trend": 72.770999, "fair_value": 80.096421, "relative_strength": -10.247746, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 31.421461, "energy": 49.973608, "activity_lines": [ 77.060666, 74.9, 72.542999, 72.033505 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }