{ "ticker": { "uuid": "420faae7-eeed-4542-b73e-947240f3aa69", "symbol": "000863", "name": "Sanxiang Impression Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.829, "architecture_energy": 66.862, "architecture_maturity": 33.398, "architecture_confidence": 91.679, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 5.58, "rotation_up": 15.4, "upward_expansion": 13.81, "deceleration": 41.54, "rotation_down": 69.05, "downward_expansion": 89.48 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.842667, 3.992182, 4.390905, 4.682731 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 4.0, "trend_reference": 5.111667, "distance_from_trend": -0.217476, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4.021538, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.005356, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -17.783673, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.403875, "excess_performance": -0.411275, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.217476, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.049817, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.005356, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.42682, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.177837, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.202526, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.403875, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.178075, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 67175603, "relative_activity": 0.605582, "balance": 0.178075, "dry_up": 0.739579, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.131923, "annualized_volatility": 0.466658, "from_high_reference": -0.42446, "from_low_reference": 0.186944 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.111667, "fair_value_reference": 4.021538, "structural_low": 3.44, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": 0.030581, "positive_rate": 0.619048, "directional_follow_through": 0.380952, "median_excess_return": 0.0112, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.260714, "worst_return": -0.154088, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.130564, "positive_rate": 0.888889, "directional_follow_through": 0.111111, "median_excess_return": 0.145658, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.488189, "worst_return": -0.061162, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.284403, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.339281, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.682493, "worst_return": 0.196532, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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4.020705, "relative_strength": -16.648482, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.858508, "energy": 71.72385, "activity_lines": [ 4.134, 4.365818, 4.699619, 4.972731 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.5, "volume": 90286329, "typical_volume": 114611584.2, "trend": 5.248333, "fair_value": 4.019231, "relative_strength": -25.644823, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.901665, "energy": 75.830665, "activity_lines": [ 3.905333, 4.158545, 4.562286, 4.855269 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.76, "volume": 89642768, "typical_volume": 112828392.45, "trend": 5.186, "fair_value": 4.02, "relative_strength": -18.737389, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.127723, "energy": 69.431791, "activity_lines": [ 3.825333, 4.037091, 4.460762, 4.759247 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.0, "volume": 67175603, "typical_volume": 110927260.35, "trend": 5.111667, "fair_value": 4.021538, "relative_strength": -17.783673, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.829303, "energy": 66.862016, "activity_lines": [ 3.842667, 3.992182, 4.390905, 4.682731 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }