{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "42109ce9-09b2-4aeb-aba0-1cffdea80a5d",
    "symbol": "006206",
    "name": "Yuanta/P-shares SSE50 ETF",
    "exchange": "TAI",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 63.351,
    "architecture_energy": 57.254,
    "architecture_maturity": 24.677,
    "architecture_confidence": 66.097,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.",
        "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 26.33,
        "rotation_up": 68.29,
        "upward_expansion": 87.07,
        "deceleration": 44.39,
        "rotation_down": 13.96,
        "downward_expansion": 13.74
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        38.323333,
        37.921091,
        37.489667,
        37.355398
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 38.599998,
    "trend_reference": 37.35,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.033467,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 31.632051,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.220281,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -22.344359,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.022246,
    "excess_performance": -0.357066,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.033467,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.013092,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.220281,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.006075,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.223444,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.053256,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.022246,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.036328,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 180000,
      "relative_activity": 0.552574,
      "balance": 1.036328,
      "dry_up": 1.137424,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.029613,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.11098,
      "from_high_reference": -0.017061,
      "from_low_reference": 0.276033
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 37.35,
      "fair_value_reference": 31.632051,
      "structural_low": 35.290001,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 13,
        "median_return": -0.019766,
        "positive_rate": 0.384615,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.384615,
        "median_excess_return": -0.023642,
        "regime_survival": 0.461538,
        "best_return": 0.109304,
        "worst_return": -0.061248,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.027966,
        "positive_rate": 0.375,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.375,
        "median_excess_return": -0.065008,
        "regime_survival": 0.125,
        "best_return": 0.146389,
        "worst_return": -0.15864,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.010702,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.118465,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.124067,
        "worst_return": -0.152561,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.13482,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.017676,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.215479,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-08-16",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.029861,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2024-09-20",
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        "return": 0.002624,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2025-03-07",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.028214,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "close": 36.619999,
        "volume": 445717,
        "typical_volume": 557880.4,
        "trend": 36.454333,
        "fair_value": 30.845577,
        "relative_strength": -25.970334,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 6.148899,
        "energy": 11.140179,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 554083.8,
        "trend": 36.555333,
        "fair_value": 30.888013,
        "relative_strength": -24.035272,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "direction": 25.711284,
        "energy": 13.018297,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.825334,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 37.560001,
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        "typical_volume": 550935.25,
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        "fair_value": 30.933782,
        "relative_strength": -27.669915,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 39.267845,
        "energy": 20.71676,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 37.330002,
        "volume": 669866,
        "typical_volume": 528197.3,
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        "fair_value": 30.976859,
        "relative_strength": -26.783967,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 36.994312,
        "energy": 22.563647,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.228001,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 531903.7,
        "trend": 36.807,
        "fair_value": 31.019103,
        "relative_strength": -29.572921,
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 24.080169,
        "energy": 15.26507,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "volume": 713011,
        "typical_volume": 548313.95,
        "trend": 36.867334,
        "fair_value": 31.065128,
        "relative_strength": -32.653943,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 36.349998,
        "volume": 76000,
        "typical_volume": 509085.25,
        "trend": 36.904333,
        "fair_value": 31.11468,
        "relative_strength": -33.150329,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -22.46706,
        "energy": 18.044598,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 36.919998,
        "volume": 186047,
        "typical_volume": 478885.75,
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        "fair_value": 31.169936,
        "relative_strength": -30.129773,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "relative_strength": -32.191416,
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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        "energy": 5.095469,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "volume": 64500,
        "typical_volume": 437340.8,
        "trend": 37.039,
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        "relative_strength": -29.048953,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 13.227185,
        "energy": 7.110701,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.050667,
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          37.04286
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 37.470001,
        "volume": 63500,
        "typical_volume": 415115.8,
        "trend": 37.099667,
        "fair_value": 31.339231,
        "relative_strength": -31.381241,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 14.205147,
        "energy": 15.810792,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.237334,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 37.740002,
        "volume": 183448,
        "typical_volume": 411611.25,
        "trend": 37.166333,
        "fair_value": 31.400449,
        "relative_strength": -28.135221,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 22.296963,
        "energy": 31.301638,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.461334,
          37.199455,
          37.043334,
          37.111979
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 36.869999,
        "volume": 665495,
        "typical_volume": 399134.05,
        "trend": 37.199,
        "fair_value": 31.455705,
        "relative_strength": -24.7694,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 6.02517,
        "energy": 17.879355,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.302667,
          37.153637,
          37.031905,
          37.09286
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 38.59,
        "volume": 364474,
        "typical_volume": 360205.15,
        "trend": 37.261667,
        "fair_value": 31.516731,
        "relative_strength": -22.497283,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 42.73661,
        "energy": 43.057394,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.720667,
          37.433091,
          37.188048,
          37.182602
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 38.650002,
        "volume": 272086,
        "typical_volume": 354796.9,
        "trend": 37.31,
        "fair_value": 31.579744,
        "relative_strength": -20.843583,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 40.562126,
        "energy": 47.855682,
        "activity_lines": [
          38.078001,
          37.700546,
          37.343905,
          37.272172
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 38.599998,
        "volume": 180000,
        "typical_volume": 325748.15,
        "trend": 37.35,
        "fair_value": 31.632051,
        "relative_strength": -22.344359,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.351071,
        "energy": 57.253634,
        "activity_lines": [
          38.323333,
          37.921091,
          37.489667,
          37.355398
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}