{ "ticker": { "uuid": "422bd6b9-9e55-4d47-aac1-d8587ba9a1dd", "symbol": "603068", "name": "Beken Corporation", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 90.069, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 34.923, "architecture_energy": 20.932, "architecture_maturity": 26.149, "architecture_confidence": 62.098, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 40.52, "rotation_up": 41.73, "upward_expansion": 45.66, "deceleration": 47.39, "rotation_down": 30.74, "downward_expansion": 10.99 }, "activity_lines": [ 38.186666, 37.698574, 36.722352, 36.162444 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 40.91, "trend_reference": 36.172508, "distance_from_trend": 0.130969, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 30.947203, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.321929, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 9.896196, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.046024, "excess_performance": 0.089228, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.130969, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.003183, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.321929, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.106831, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.098962, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.176933, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.046024, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.73834, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 101844799, "relative_activity": 3.789293, "balance": 1.73834, "dry_up": 2.580921, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.101506, "annualized_volatility": 0.415316, "from_high_reference": -0.203776, "from_low_reference": 0.356882 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 36.172508, "fair_value_reference": 30.947203, "structural_low": 30.15, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": -0.01875, "positive_rate": 0.470588, "directional_follow_through": 0.470588, "median_excess_return": 0.001949, "regime_survival": 0.529412, "best_return": 0.217194, "worst_return": -0.29147, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.176317, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.13253, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.306638, "worst_return": -0.334697, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.022571, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.013688, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.31494, "worst_return": -0.283572, 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"typical_volume": 19270975.45, "trend": 36.075175, "fair_value": 30.825372, "relative_strength": 2.851205, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 22.881719, "energy": 25.975193, "activity_lines": [ 37.282746, 36.776765, 36.004736, 35.800165 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 36.84, "volume": 73980583, "typical_volume": 22317426.6, "trend": 36.059508, "fair_value": 30.868734, "relative_strength": 1.893733, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 17.816038, "energy": 12.498773, "activity_lines": [ 37.032685, 36.857942, 36.176853, 35.849509 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 40.91, "volume": 101844799, "typical_volume": 26876989.45, "trend": 36.172508, "fair_value": 30.947203, "relative_strength": 9.896196, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 34.923242, "energy": 20.932098, "activity_lines": [ 38.186666, 37.698574, 36.722352, 36.162444 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }