{ "ticker": { "uuid": "424815a6-041a-4792-be99-619705fbd7aa", "symbol": "300095", "name": "Jiangxi Huawu Brake Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -59.875, "architecture_energy": 65.746, "architecture_maturity": 29.62, "architecture_confidence": 90.494, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.06, "rotation_up": 12.18, "upward_expansion": 13.95, "deceleration": 39.55, "rotation_down": 62.94, "downward_expansion": 82.62 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.138667, 8.406182, 8.912762, 9.254237 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 8.39, "trend_reference": 9.815667, "distance_from_trend": -0.145244, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 8.105982, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.035038, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -18.709492, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.179863, "excess_performance": -0.187263, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.145244, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.058419, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.035038, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.329027, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.187095, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.07325, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.179863, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.283081, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 31650000, "relative_activity": 0.718284, "balance": 0.283081, "dry_up": 0.91263, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.101403, "annualized_volatility": 0.425184, "from_high_reference": -0.370593, "from_low_reference": 0.210678 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 9.815667, "fair_value_reference": 8.105982, "structural_low": 6.93, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 29, "median_return": -0.009294, "positive_rate": 0.448276, "directional_follow_through": 0.551724, "median_excess_return": 0.009744, "regime_survival": 0.827586, "best_return": 0.295749, "worst_return": -0.120292, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.043088, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": 0.046331, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.388368, "worst_return": -0.175103, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.020988, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.060737, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.168343, "worst_return": -0.298246, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"typical_volume": 48381869.15, "trend": 10.177333, "fair_value": 8.133157, "relative_strength": -21.674248, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.424921, "energy": 50.244658, "activity_lines": [ 8.7, 8.907091, 9.315952, 9.651054 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.47, "volume": 42524070, "typical_volume": 46030800.35, "trend": 10.053333, "fair_value": 8.116887, "relative_strength": -26.289286, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.419474, "energy": 57.800537, "activity_lines": [ 8.257333, 8.588364, 9.116143, 9.476387 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.16, "volume": 34857999, "typical_volume": 44730251.8, "trend": 9.94, "fair_value": 8.108708, "relative_strength": -17.51123, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.51816, "energy": 59.151769, "activity_lines": [ 8.138, 8.458, 8.99819, 9.354237 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.39, "volume": 31650000, "typical_volume": 44063339.6, "trend": 9.815667, "fair_value": 8.105982, "relative_strength": -18.709492, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.875186, "energy": 65.746056, "activity_lines": [ 8.138667, 8.406182, 8.912762, 9.254237 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }