{ "ticker": { "uuid": "424a6d17-b838-4369-9d61-17d8023745fe", "symbol": "ANDE", "name": "The Andersons Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3c", "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch", "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": -1.092, "architecture_energy": 7.169, "architecture_maturity": 12.347, "architecture_confidence": 58.895, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 67.69, "rotation_up": 39.48, "upward_expansion": 59.49, "deceleration": 52.37, "rotation_down": 21.55, "downward_expansion": 19.49 }, "activity_lines": [ 71.592667, 71.71664, 71.975363, 71.473806 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 65.39, "trend_reference": 69.819598, "distance_from_trend": -0.063443, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 50.582911, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.292729, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -3.633646, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.019295, "excess_performance": -0.206749, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.063443, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.106031, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.292729, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.18244, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.036336, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.212113, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.019295, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.416798, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2227620, "relative_activity": 1.403042, "balance": 0.416798, "dry_up": 1.025986, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.084652, "annualized_volatility": 0.399988, "from_high_reference": -0.201265, "from_low_reference": 0.757538 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 69.819598, "fair_value_reference": 50.582911, "structural_low": 61.500786, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.050224, "positive_rate": 0.583333, "directional_follow_through": 0.583333, "median_excess_return": 0.003195, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.184742, "worst_return": -0.141403, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.025394, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.012605, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.396858, "worst_return": -0.16083, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.288446, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.151114, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.445055, "worst_return": 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"deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.150694, "energy": 28.685889, "activity_lines": [ 73.112561, 72.128533, 72.251464, 70.98943 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 77.71, "volume": 1520541, "typical_volume": 1637093.85, "trend": 68.866732, "fair_value": 50.356452, "relative_strength": 22.666482, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.354878, "energy": 47.781109, "activity_lines": [ 75.040641, 73.23707, 72.814836, 71.613116 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 70.78, "volume": 1427934, "typical_volume": 1607533.25, "trend": 69.462584, "fair_value": 50.484902, "relative_strength": 10.18468, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.579842, "energy": 35.521166, "activity_lines": [ 74.212, 72.968125, 72.652324, 71.736553 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 65.39, "volume": 2227620, "typical_volume": 1587707.4, "trend": 69.819598, "fair_value": 50.582911, "relative_strength": -3.633646, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": -1.092278, "energy": 7.168613, "activity_lines": [ 71.592667, 71.71664, 71.975363, 71.473806 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }