{ "ticker": { "uuid": "425103cc-2955-43cb-88d0-63b757cd6cff", "symbol": "VAKRANGEE", "name": "Vakrangee Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -60.709, "architecture_energy": 63.337, "architecture_maturity": 15.0, "architecture_confidence": 90.273, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.1, "rotation_up": 13.47, "upward_expansion": 13.88, "deceleration": 38.38, "rotation_down": 64.82, "downward_expansion": 87.21 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.949333, 6.027273, 6.230524, 6.27729 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 5.99, "trend_reference": 6.389333, "distance_from_trend": -0.0625, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 15.739671, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.619433, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -16.256904, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.139368, "excess_performance": -0.095659, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.0625, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.092209, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.619433, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.03567, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.162569, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.042543, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.139368, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.999111, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4006095, "relative_activity": 0.470522, "balance": 0.999111, "dry_up": 0.639148, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.050469, "annualized_volatility": 0.443467, "from_high_reference": -0.386899, "from_low_reference": 0.299349 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.389333, "fair_value_reference": 15.739671, "structural_low": 4.61, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 41, "median_return": -0.014803, "positive_rate": 0.414634, "directional_follow_through": 0.585366, "median_excess_return": -0.028329, "regime_survival": 0.853659, "best_return": 0.539714, "worst_return": -0.253363, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.021487, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.075195, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.255167, "worst_return": -0.350097, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.148144, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.189539, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.610932, "worst_return": -0.355072, "sufficient": true }, { 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"typical_volume": 9396389.0, "trend": 6.511333, "fair_value": 15.87119, "relative_strength": -17.34202, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.093864, "energy": 71.237918, "activity_lines": [ 5.976, 6.103818, 6.290524, 6.341505 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.97, "volume": 6507623, "typical_volume": 8975518.15, "trend": 6.444, "fair_value": 15.81254, "relative_strength": -16.543555, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.020406, "energy": 65.070456, "activity_lines": [ 5.953333, 6.058727, 6.259857, 6.306581 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.99, "volume": 4006095, "typical_volume": 8514158.45, "trend": 6.389333, "fair_value": 15.739671, "relative_strength": -16.256904, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.708981, "energy": 63.337259, "activity_lines": [ 5.949333, 6.027273, 6.230524, 6.27729 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }