{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4269f3fb-3a5f-4dc5-9546-55e5c54d866a", "symbol": "XMTR", "name": "Xometry Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 50.78, "architecture_energy": 36.63, "architecture_maturity": 88.14, "architecture_confidence": 79.381, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.77, "rotation_up": 41.77, "upward_expansion": 69.54, "deceleration": 82.18, "rotation_down": 27.23, "downward_expansion": 17.2 }, "activity_lines": [ 90.712333, 91.466273, 86.220024, 77.396452 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 93.145, "trend_reference": 68.259833, "distance_from_trend": 0.364565, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 37.229423, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.501919, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 32.361962, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.410647, "excess_performance": 0.223193, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.364565, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.171249, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.501919, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.050842, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.32362, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.060972, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.410647, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.769689, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5129500, "relative_activity": 1.2297, "balance": 1.769689, "dry_up": 1.104638, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.122892, "annualized_volatility": 0.973839, "from_high_reference": -0.121936, "from_low_reference": 1.597462 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 68.259833, "fair_value_reference": 37.229423, "structural_low": 35.86, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": -0.010798, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": -0.004725, "regime_survival": 0.777778, "best_return": 0.422866, "worst_return": -0.487371, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.056635, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.009268, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 1.484186, "worst_return": -0.5375, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.372363, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.377059, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.761769, "worst_return": -0.634599, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"relative_strength": 32.869476, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.446836, "energy": 47.57045, "activity_lines": [ 92.794667, 92.065, 82.998262, 74.484989 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 85.72, "volume": 3155008, "typical_volume": 4109559.35, "trend": 67.251333, "fair_value": 36.735929, "relative_strength": 29.449247, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.085297, "energy": 37.156615, "activity_lines": [ 90.227667, 91.058909, 84.371762, 75.725892 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 93.145, "volume": 5129500, "typical_volume": 4171344.15, "trend": 68.259833, "fair_value": 37.229423, "relative_strength": 32.361962, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.779871, "energy": 36.630363, "activity_lines": [ 90.712333, 91.466273, 86.220024, 77.396452 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }