{ "ticker": { "uuid": "426e8250-cfc3-46db-b7ab-2f8a9bc74c89", "symbol": "ORMP", "name": "Oramed Pharmaceuticals Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 39.876, "architecture_energy": 17.715, "architecture_maturity": 36.707, "architecture_confidence": 94.739, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.8, "rotation_up": 31.55, "upward_expansion": 55.66, "deceleration": 86.26, "rotation_down": 23.71, "downward_expansion": 16.99 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.131333, 4.165273, 4.104, 3.970269 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 4.3, "trend_reference": 3.793333, "distance_from_trend": 0.133568, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2.562734, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.677895, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 19.435403, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.260997, "excess_performance": 0.073543, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.133568, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.152367, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.677895, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.041135, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.194354, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.095597, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.260997, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.427759, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 985815, "relative_activity": 0.859662, "balance": 1.427759, "dry_up": 0.722937, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.124293, "annualized_volatility": 0.495629, "from_high_reference": -0.171484, "from_low_reference": 1.325124 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.793333, "fair_value_reference": 2.562734, "structural_low": 3.13, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.055046, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.072357, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.317596, "worst_return": -0.23301, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.019157, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.1474, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.489609, "worst_return": -0.428482, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.185322, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.28253, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.126703, "worst_return": -0.72522, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 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"red", "start": "2025-07-18", "end": "2025-09-12", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.136792, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-09-19", "end": "2025-10-03", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.042735, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-10", "end": "2025-11-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.091286, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-11-14", "end": "2025-11-21", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.107296, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-11-28", "end": "2026-02-20", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.206579, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-02-27", "end": "2026-03-20", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.021962, "active": false }, { 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"2026-07-24", "close": 4.03, "volume": 803910, "typical_volume": 1124576.9, "trend": 3.712223, "fair_value": 2.549237, "relative_strength": 20.539812, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.27182, "energy": 25.307956, "activity_lines": [ 4.150667, 4.128182, 4.056667, 3.912158 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.07, "volume": 675377, "typical_volume": 1123896.2, "trend": 3.75706, "fair_value": 2.554798, "relative_strength": 19.97614, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 32.311397, "energy": 16.573007, "activity_lines": [ 4.082667, 4.126545, 4.070905, 3.93524 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.3, "volume": 985815, "typical_volume": 1146747.5, "trend": 3.793333, "fair_value": 2.562734, "relative_strength": 19.435403, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.87567, "energy": 17.715004, "activity_lines": [ 4.131333, 4.165273, 4.104, 3.970269 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }