{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "427b3415-5805-4919-8d7f-757e2bba70fd",
    "symbol": "TBLL",
    "name": "INVESCO EXCHANGE TRADED FD TR II SHORT TERM TREASURY ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 91.833,
    "architecture_energy": 96.712,
    "architecture_maturity": 100.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 60.949,
    "architecture_tenure": "Extended",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 16.62,
        "rotation_up": 88.54,
        "upward_expansion": 99.96,
        "deceleration": 39.01,
        "rotation_down": 9.21,
        "downward_expansion": 21.96
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      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
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    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 100.094812,
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    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -9.827282,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.01156,
    "excess_performance": -0.114065,
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        "label": "Price vs Trend",
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        "value": 0.006364,
        "read": "Above"
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      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.004875,
        "read": "Rising"
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      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
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        "value": 0.055999,
        "read": "Premium"
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      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.00505,
        "read": "Moving away"
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      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.098273,
        "read": "Lagging"
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      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
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        "value": 0.000796,
        "read": "Improving"
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      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
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        "read": "Positive"
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        "read": "Demand-led"
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      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 0
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      "annualized_volatility": 0.00615,
      "from_high_reference": -4.7e-05,
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      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 1570693.4,
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        "relative_strength": -9.697561,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.024663,
        "energy": 71.698021,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 105.204993,
        "volume": 2503349,
        "typical_volume": 1658370.85,
        "trend": 104.461176,
        "fair_value": 99.192797,
        "relative_strength": -10.03134,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 1682977.8,
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        "fair_value": 99.277033,
        "relative_strength": -10.868599,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 74.922569,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 105.334605,
        "volume": 1009669,
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        "fair_value": 99.36086,
        "relative_strength": -8.211421,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "energy": 75.840138,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "fair_value": 99.444534,
        "relative_strength": -8.310105,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "fair_value": 99.607501,
        "relative_strength": -6.465944,
        "stage": 3,
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        "energy": 64.652866,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 967578,
        "typical_volume": 1683889.95,
        "trend": 104.790812,
        "fair_value": 99.689095,
        "relative_strength": -8.093019,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 105.392814,
        "volume": 1063701,
        "typical_volume": 1602375.45,
        "trend": 104.83916,
        "fair_value": 99.770453,
        "relative_strength": -8.984718,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.700967,
        "energy": 63.225492,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 105.472582,
        "volume": 872107,
        "typical_volume": 1604915.9,
        "trend": 104.88722,
        "fair_value": 99.851761,
        "relative_strength": -7.222748,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.57788,
        "energy": 70.426046,
        "activity_lines": [
          105.370162,
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          105.233497,
          105.103168
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 105.51,
        "volume": 937396,
        "typical_volume": 1548524.7,
        "trend": 104.934314,
        "fair_value": 99.932723,
        "relative_strength": -6.412971,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.656519,
        "energy": 90.305108,
        "activity_lines": [
          105.434535,
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          105.269354,
          105.143348
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 105.61,
        "volume": 2155977,
        "typical_volume": 1418430.5,
        "trend": 104.982441,
        "fair_value": 100.013761,
        "relative_strength": -7.045734,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 89.006361,
        "energy": 95.149682,
        "activity_lines": [
          105.508424,
          105.42223,
          105.311128,
          105.18694
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 105.7,
        "volume": 1291170,
        "typical_volume": 1429724.55,
        "trend": 105.031597,
        "fair_value": 100.094812,
        "relative_strength": -9.827282,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 91.833439,
        "energy": 96.712111,
        "activity_lines": [
          105.587199,
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          105.35772,
          105.233235
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}