{ "ticker": { "uuid": "427df747-741a-438a-8fc8-adef5577b26c", "symbol": "002175", "name": "Guangxi Oriental Intelligent Manufacturing Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -41.616, "architecture_energy": 27.174, "architecture_maturity": 87.743, "architecture_confidence": 59.803, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 41.39, "rotation_up": 24.14, "upward_expansion": 9.33, "deceleration": 64.1, "rotation_down": 36.83, "downward_expansion": 66.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.452, 2.441455, 2.487238, 2.645763 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 2.41, "trend_reference": 2.972667, "distance_from_trend": -0.18928, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.416795, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.294661, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -38.231182, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.43026, "excess_performance": -0.43766, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.18928, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.195635, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.294661, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.024553, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.382312, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.138932, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.43026, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.248324, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 103971116, "relative_activity": 0.586128, "balance": 1.248324, "dry_up": 0.674434, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.138845, "annualized_volatility": 0.725755, "from_high_reference": -0.583765, "from_low_reference": 0.211055 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.972667, "fair_value_reference": 3.416795, "structural_low": 1.99, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 26, "median_return": -0.005043, "positive_rate": 0.384615, "directional_follow_through": 0.538462, "median_excess_return": -0.012373, "regime_survival": 0.846154, "best_return": 0.263636, "worst_return": -0.259259, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.027027, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": -0.00416, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 1.278607, "worst_return": -0.237885, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.027586, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.067547, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 1.647399, "worst_return": -0.363971, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"relative_strength": -35.863237, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -33.866626, "energy": 22.052564, "activity_lines": [ 2.549333, 2.461818, 2.536524, 2.735247 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.36, "volume": 104048920, "typical_volume": 203838766.8, "trend": 3.04, "fair_value": 3.420128, "relative_strength": -37.309361, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -42.144126, "energy": 21.511164, "activity_lines": [ 2.499333, 2.445273, 2.506857, 2.686409 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.41, "volume": 103971116, "typical_volume": 177386339.35, "trend": 2.972667, "fair_value": 3.416795, "relative_strength": -38.231182, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -41.616232, "energy": 27.174049, "activity_lines": [ 2.452, 2.441455, 2.487238, 2.645763 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }