{ "ticker": { "uuid": "427fe532-a3f6-4834-ad1a-02c608078950", "symbol": "LYAEJ", "name": "Amundi MSCI AC Asia Pacific Ex Japan UCITS ETF Acc", "exchange": "EBS", "country": "CH", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SSMI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 86.513, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 15.253, "architecture_energy": 22.689, "architecture_maturity": 65.163, "architecture_confidence": 88.825, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 57.13, "rotation_up": 20.4, "upward_expansion": 48.79, "deceleration": 85.14, "rotation_down": 37.87, "downward_expansion": 26.79 }, "activity_lines": [ 111.221333, 112.756364, 112.762476, 110.393549 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 112.879997, "trend_reference": 107.296, "distance_from_trend": 0.052043, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 80.584314, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.400769, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 2.013831, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.128574, "excess_performance": 0.045691, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.052043, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.072245, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.400769, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.108866, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.020138, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.193029, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.128574, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.089997, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1799, "relative_activity": 1.17574, "balance": 2.089997, "dry_up": 1.085877, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.03316, "annualized_volatility": 0.250085, "from_high_reference": -0.060273, "from_low_reference": 0.410949 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 107.296, "fair_value_reference": 80.584314, "structural_low": 93.550003, "invalidation": "A 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"blue", "start": "2025-03-14", "end": "2025-03-28", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.006035, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-04", "end": "2025-05-02", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.112458, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-09", "end": "2025-05-23", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.031591, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-05-30", "end": "2025-10-17", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.179467, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-10-24", "end": "2025-10-31", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.168833, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-11-07", "end": "2025-11-21", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.036697, "active": false }, { 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1547.5, "trend": 105.63, "fair_value": 79.70957, "relative_strength": 0.937869, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.378611, "energy": 32.100298, "activity_lines": [ 113.797334, 114.706183, 112.287286, 109.484001 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 109.699997, "volume": 102, "typical_volume": 1385.0, "trend": 106.216333, "fair_value": 79.981814, "relative_strength": 0.958849, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 31.942909, "energy": 25.921643, "activity_lines": [ 111.945333, 113.798182, 112.387619, 109.746581 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 110.120003, "volume": 4582, "typical_volume": 1546.1, "trend": 106.755667, "fair_value": 80.267583, "relative_strength": 1.058908, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 24.084184, "energy": 25.087636, "activity_lines": [ 110.928001, 113.005455, 112.472763, 109.998431 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 112.879997, "volume": 1799, "typical_volume": 1530.1, "trend": 107.296, "fair_value": 80.584314, "relative_strength": 2.013831, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 15.252641, "energy": 22.688624, "activity_lines": [ 111.221333, 112.756364, 112.762476, 110.393549 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }