{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "4281bff1-fd43-4fb8-b3bb-25b5aeeeff51",
    "symbol": "KRAB",
    "name": "Kraft Bank ASA",
    "exchange": "OSL",
    "country": "NO",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "OSEBX.OL",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 49.957,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-acceleration watch",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 46.131,
    "architecture_energy": 30.425,
    "architecture_maturity": 25.942,
    "architecture_confidence": 64.978,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.",
        "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 41.16,
        "rotation_up": 53.7,
        "upward_expansion": 73.32,
        "deceleration": 58.17,
        "rotation_down": 16.14,
        "downward_expansion": 4.65
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        13.87,
        13.782727,
        13.775714,
        13.754468
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 13.85,
    "trend_reference": 13.521692,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.02428,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 9.504867,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.457148,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -1.095359,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.074712,
    "excess_performance": -0.050282,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.02428,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.081867,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.457148,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.160577,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.010954,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.110842,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.074712,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.239004,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 133875,
      "relative_activity": 2.450817,
      "balance": 0.239004,
      "dry_up": 1.429584,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.03138,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.217402,
      "from_high_reference": -0.07047,
      "from_low_reference": 0.378876
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 13.521692,
      "fair_value_reference": 9.504867,
      "structural_low": 12.792414,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": 0.00365,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.000171,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.058824,
        "worst_return": -0.034884,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.020039,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.047533,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.236364,
        "worst_return": -0.033333,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.040264,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.074823,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.391094,
        "worst_return": -0.012038,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.088093,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.089262,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.088093,
        "worst_return": 0.088093,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-05-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.055555,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-07-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.023496,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-08-23",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.005618,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "end": "2025-01-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.044444,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-01-10",
        "end": "2025-01-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.017647,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-01-31",
        "end": "2025-03-07",
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        "return": 0.042168,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-05-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.004707,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-10-31",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.164948,
        "active": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "active": true
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "volume": 111904,
        "typical_volume": 149038.9,
        "trend": 12.150676,
        "fair_value": 8.876991,
        "relative_strength": 4.744758,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "activity_lines": [
          14.076667,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 148612.85,
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        "fair_value": 8.916571,
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        "stage": 2,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 149826.0,
        "trend": 12.278386,
        "fair_value": 8.963202,
        "relative_strength": 9.988818,
        "stage": 2,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 13.75,
        "volume": 94443,
        "typical_volume": 152565.05,
        "trend": 12.329257,
        "fair_value": 9.003622,
        "relative_strength": 1.565627,
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        "energy": 31.419771,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 151582.15,
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        "fair_value": 9.044283,
        "relative_strength": -0.259911,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 26.591306,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 143748.1,
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        "fair_value": 9.085667,
        "relative_strength": 0.575871,
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        "energy": 25.32677,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 13.5,
        "volume": 4366,
        "typical_volume": 139577.8,
        "trend": 12.601025,
        "fair_value": 9.12673,
        "relative_strength": -0.234955,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "volume": 14467,
        "typical_volume": 128260.0,
        "trend": 12.713577,
        "fair_value": 9.170278,
        "relative_strength": 2.058073,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "typical_volume": 123843.2,
        "trend": 12.822795,
        "fair_value": 9.213185,
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        "energy": 11.054452,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 106041.1,
        "trend": 12.919379,
        "fair_value": 9.253565,
        "relative_strength": 5.592989,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 19.405604,
        "energy": 11.215931,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.683333,
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          13.797948,
          13.52407
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 13.45,
        "volume": 4268,
        "typical_volume": 82184.65,
        "trend": 13.010788,
        "fair_value": 9.292062,
        "relative_strength": 1.037218,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 12.556198,
        "energy": 7.692501,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.616667,
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          13.762118,
          13.558303
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 13.6,
        "volume": 5870,
        "typical_volume": 70236.7,
        "trend": 13.116673,
        "fair_value": 9.332924,
        "relative_strength": 2.558595,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 15.100262,
        "energy": 7.807669,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.606667,
          13.639091,
          13.742857,
          13.596317
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 13.8,
        "volume": 14801,
        "typical_volume": 61965.5,
        "trend": 13.222908,
        "fair_value": 9.375349,
        "relative_strength": 2.467442,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 28.37839,
        "energy": 11.728128,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.656667,
          13.652727,
          13.742408,
          13.640403
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 14.0,
        "volume": 69716,
        "typical_volume": 58809.95,
        "trend": 13.332651,
        "fair_value": 9.420179,
        "relative_strength": 1.122764,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 40.467789,
        "energy": 18.725587,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.773333,
          13.715455,
          13.761624,
          13.690538
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 13.9,
        "volume": 93970,
        "typical_volume": 56362.4,
        "trend": 13.426425,
        "fair_value": 9.460999,
        "relative_strength": -0.267121,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 38.359781,
        "energy": 23.126552,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.836667,
          13.755455,
          13.77098,
          13.727141
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 13.85,
        "volume": 133875,
        "typical_volume": 54624.65,
        "trend": 13.521692,
        "fair_value": 9.504867,
        "relative_strength": -1.095359,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 46.131218,
        "energy": 30.425406,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.87,
          13.782727,
          13.775714,
          13.754468
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}