{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "4283ec80-0dea-4c40-84fd-fcb4105ea3c1",
    "symbol": "KRS",
    "name": "Keras Resources Plc",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1A \u00b7 Bottoming",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 60.903,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -21.297,
    "architecture_energy": 38.5,
    "architecture_maturity": 6.239,
    "architecture_confidence": 70.02,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 33.23,
        "rotation_up": 15.54,
        "upward_expansion": 21.91,
        "deceleration": 52.07,
        "rotation_down": 65.51,
        "downward_expansion": 53.91
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.014,
        0.014609,
        0.015324,
        0.015046
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 0.014,
    "trend_reference": 0.014783,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.052988,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 0.023167,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.395683,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -12.32437,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.125,
    "excess_performance": -0.176235,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.052988,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.01837,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.395683,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.066991,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.123244,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.268009,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.125,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 10.926244,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 10.926244,
      "dry_up": 0.0,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.144176,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.524314,
      "from_high_reference": -0.3,
      "from_low_reference": 0.4
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.014783,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.023167,
      "structural_low": 0.01,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.058824,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.094082,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.277778,
        "worst_return": -0.150943,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.148076,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.135789,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.098039,
        "worst_return": -0.198113,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.518313,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.547331,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.470588,
        "worst_return": -0.566038,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.324177,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.41039,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.216981,
        "worst_return": -0.431373,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2023-04-07",
        "end": "2023-05-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.324675,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-05-12",
        "end": "2023-06-02",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.176471,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2023-06-09",
        "end": "2023-09-01",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.047619,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2023-09-08",
        "end": "2023-12-22",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.084337,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-12-29",
        "end": "2024-06-07",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-06-14",
        "end": "2024-07-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.256757,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-08-02",
        "end": "2024-10-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.3375,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-10-18",
        "end": "2024-11-08",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.058824,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-11-15",
        "end": "2025-08-01",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.518519,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-08-08",
        "end": "2026-05-15",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.384615,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-05-22",
        "end": "2026-05-29",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.029412,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-06-05",
        "end": "2026-07-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.2,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-07-24",
        "end": "2026-07-31",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-08-07",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
      {
        "date": "2023-08-18",
        "close": 0.042,
        "volume": 1572853,
        "typical_volume": 777334.35,
        "trend": 0.038,
        "fair_value": 0.075849,
        "relative_strength": 9.930866,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 11.113545,
        "energy": 8.140013,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.040967,
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          0.041345
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2023-08-25",
        "close": 0.042,
        "volume": 220517,
        "typical_volume": 754665.35,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-01",
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        "typical_volume": 714454.55,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-08",
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        "typical_volume": 548577.9,
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-15",
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        "volume": 23313,
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          0.041924
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-22",
        "close": 0.0415,
        "volume": 0,
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        "trend": 0.041217,
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        "relative_strength": 8.578319,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-10-06",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-10-13",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-10-20",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-10-27",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-11-03",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-12-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-12-08",
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        "date": "2023-12-15",
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      },
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        "date": "2023-12-22",
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        "date": "2024-01-05",
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      },
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        "date": "2024-01-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2024-01-19",
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      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "relative_strength": -11.266283,
        "stage": 1,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 443279.75,
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        "relative_strength": -9.588818,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 406471.75,
        "trend": 0.014733,
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        "relative_strength": -10.322018,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -5.499575,
        "energy": 16.410144,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.0146,
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          0.015631,
          0.015188
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.014,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 395744.8,
        "trend": 0.014717,
        "fair_value": 0.0235,
        "relative_strength": -11.315758,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -18.089134,
        "energy": 25.284875,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.0142,
          0.0153,
          0.015536,
          0.015141
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.014,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 364424.9,
        "trend": 0.01475,
        "fair_value": 0.023333,
        "relative_strength": -12.225211,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -18.700516,
        "energy": 31.583998,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.014,
          0.014927,
          0.015433,
          0.015095
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.014,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 353916.15,
        "trend": 0.014783,
        "fair_value": 0.023167,
        "relative_strength": -12.32437,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -21.297327,
        "energy": 38.500367,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.014,
          0.014609,
          0.015324,
          0.015046
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}