{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4288eb01-bfe2-4290-802e-f837b79146ed", "symbol": "2883", "name": "KGI Financial Holding Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 73.936, "architecture_energy": 66.391, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 93.814, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 2.42, "rotation_up": 65.66, "upward_expansion": 89.99, "deceleration": 61.9, "rotation_down": 24.51, "downward_expansion": 11.99 }, "activity_lines": [ 31.033333, 30.403176, 27.915684, 25.855252 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 31.65, "trend_reference": 23.253915, "distance_from_trend": 0.361061, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 15.602424, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.028531, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 18.491938, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.789875, "excess_performance": 0.348503, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.361061, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.246275, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.028531, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.538671, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.184919, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.317969, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.789875, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.203099, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 173454439, "relative_activity": 0.494291, "balance": 1.203099, "dry_up": 0.657653, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.074414, "annualized_volatility": 0.419446, "from_high_reference": -0.00315, "from_low_reference": 1.235817 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 23.253915, "fair_value_reference": 15.602424, "structural_low": 17.827742, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 34, "median_return": 0.026704, "positive_rate": 0.647059, "directional_follow_through": 0.647059, "median_excess_return": 0.011006, "regime_survival": 0.794118, "best_return": 0.256293, "worst_return": -0.118687, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.08802, "positive_rate": 0.615385, "directional_follow_through": 0.615385, "median_excess_return": 0.055597, "regime_survival": 0.769231, "best_return": 0.499071, "worst_return": -0.262777, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.117284, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.084873, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.387302, "worst_return": -0.272555, "sufficient": true }, { 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232998732, "typical_volume": 351266979.1, "trend": 22.760964, "fair_value": 15.469744, "relative_strength": 19.911567, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.940705, "energy": 65.431146, "activity_lines": [ 30.643333, 29.9695, 27.273196, 25.281766 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 31.65, "volume": 173454439, "typical_volume": 350915495.5, "trend": 23.253915, "fair_value": 15.602424, "relative_strength": 18.491938, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.936167, "energy": 66.391259, "activity_lines": [ 31.033333, 30.403176, 27.915684, 25.855252 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }