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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 6.328, "architecture_energy": 11.089, "architecture_maturity": 62.957, "architecture_confidence": 70.985, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 61.08, "rotation_up": 20.07, "upward_expansion": 55.68, "deceleration": 88.24, "rotation_down": 36.53, "downward_expansion": 21.68 }, "activity_lines": [ 113.504, 115.296364, 114.336079, 113.515908 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 108.879997, "trend_reference": 111.356984, "distance_from_trend": -0.022244, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 87.781998, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.240345, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -15.30405, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.086533, "excess_performance": -0.087714, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.022244, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.048954, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.240345, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.089009, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.153041, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.113476, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.086533, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.384615, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 0.384615, "dry_up": 0.145414, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.044495, "annualized_volatility": 0.268441, "from_high_reference": -0.109439, "from_low_reference": 0.239946 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 111.356984, "fair_value_reference": 87.781998, "structural_low": 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117.779999, "volume": 13, "typical_volume": 22.4, "trend": 109.738078, "fair_value": 86.8898, "relative_strength": -5.060598, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.413285, "energy": 73.761668, "activity_lines": [ 118.620001, 116.188364, 114.505363, 112.961377 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 118.980003, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 22.4, "trend": 110.50788, "fair_value": 87.210684, "relative_strength": -5.327619, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.277858, "energy": 65.53398, "activity_lines": [ 118.976002, 117.055638, 115.0091, 113.557631 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 112.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 22.4, "trend": 111.018817, "fair_value": 87.508074, "relative_strength": -10.568893, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 31.854806, "energy": 22.110261, "activity_lines": [ 116.456001, 116.457819, 114.812756, 113.653896 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 108.879997, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 22.35, "trend": 111.356984, "fair_value": 87.781998, "relative_strength": -15.30405, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 6.328232, "energy": 11.088835, "activity_lines": [ 113.504, 115.296364, 114.336079, 113.515908 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }