{ "ticker": { "uuid": "42984ccf-183f-4d8d-ac3d-90719b23d33c", "symbol": "WPHO", "name": "Windar Photonics PLC", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -59.942, "architecture_energy": 58.539, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 94.167, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.1, "rotation_up": 29.86, "upward_expansion": 11.92, "deceleration": 47.32, "rotation_down": 43.72, "downward_expansion": 80.59 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.265, 0.265364, 0.269905, 0.284854 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 0.265, "trend_reference": 0.31805, "distance_from_trend": -0.166798, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.439583, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.397156, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -41.43022, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.345679, "excess_performance": -0.396914, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.166798, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.179755, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.397156, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.040548, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.414302, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.029153, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.345679, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.807084, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 0.807084, "dry_up": 0.0, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.037736, "annualized_volatility": 0.362012, "from_high_reference": -0.601504, "from_low_reference": 0.06 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.31805, "fair_value_reference": 0.439583, "structural_low": 0.25, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": -0.014286, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.518519, "median_excess_return": -0.016923, "regime_survival": 0.851852, "best_return": 1.475, "worst_return": -0.438596, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.147547, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.176389, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 1.875, "worst_return": -0.438596, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.036145, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.01512, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 2.1875, "worst_return": -0.515152, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 4, 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317951.65, "trend": 0.341717, "fair_value": 0.441763, "relative_strength": -43.075577, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.73444, "energy": 58.288485, "activity_lines": [ 0.265333, 0.267273, 0.277276, 0.302566 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.265, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 306519.0, "trend": 0.33605, "fair_value": 0.441474, "relative_strength": -42.688974, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.892965, "energy": 66.332907, "activity_lines": [ 0.265, 0.266591, 0.274769, 0.297616 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.265, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 281296.7, "trend": 0.331217, "fair_value": 0.440962, "relative_strength": -42.454515, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.901402, "energy": 62.031789, "activity_lines": [ 0.265, 0.266273, 0.272819, 0.293032 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.265, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 266370.55, "trend": 0.32555, "fair_value": 0.440353, "relative_strength": -42.155185, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.004708, "energy": 55.863973, "activity_lines": [ 0.265, 0.265773, 0.271202, 0.28876 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.265, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 247440.25, "trend": 0.31805, "fair_value": 0.439583, "relative_strength": -41.43022, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.941568, "energy": 58.538657, "activity_lines": [ 0.265, 0.265364, 0.269905, 0.284854 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }