{ "ticker": { "uuid": "42a17ae6-d22d-4401-b495-eaa55a6fc40b", "symbol": "G107", "name": "Group 107 Ltd", "exchange": "TLV", "country": "IL", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "TA35.TA", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -50.437, "architecture_energy": 40.968, "architecture_maturity": 22.419, "architecture_confidence": 76.319, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.2, "rotation_up": 12.95, "upward_expansion": 14.19, "deceleration": 47.39, "rotation_down": 62.49, "downward_expansion": 73.19 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.727333, 0.759327, 0.754657, 0.774695 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.69, "trend_reference": 0.8168, "distance_from_trend": -0.15524, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.673355, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.02472, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -34.274615, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.268293, "excess_performance": -0.297193, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.15524, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.133399, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.02472, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.030554, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.342746, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.141237, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.268293, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.610609, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 69781, "relative_activity": 0.573841, "balance": 0.610609, "dry_up": 0.621017, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.139019, "annualized_volatility": 0.562186, "from_high_reference": -0.524138, "from_low_reference": 0.112903 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.8168, "fair_value_reference": 0.673355, "structural_low": 0.62, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.00309, "positive_rate": 0.416667, "directional_follow_through": 0.416667, "median_excess_return": -0.029146, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.282222, "worst_return": -0.237467, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.312925, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.142554, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 2.491329, "worst_return": -0.197252, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.178008, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.075208, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.83815, "worst_return": -0.359176, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-10-11", "end": "2025-01-10", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.312925, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-01-17", "end": "2025-01-24", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.036907, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-01-31", "end": "2025-02-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.097426, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-03-07", "end": "2025-04-25", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.202756, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-05-02", "end": "2025-08-22", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.986949, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-08-29", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 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0.772719, 0.799815 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.74, "volume": 68747, "typical_volume": 127920.9, "trend": 0.8503, "fair_value": 0.67329, "relative_strength": -34.248124, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -33.226379, "energy": 15.497352, "activity_lines": [ 0.775133, 0.779527, 0.768019, 0.791725 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.73, "volume": 33845, "typical_volume": 124020.7, "trend": 0.833667, "fair_value": 0.673283, "relative_strength": -31.646304, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.118797, "energy": 24.775802, "activity_lines": [ 0.754667, 0.773764, 0.762948, 0.783963 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.69, "volume": 69781, "typical_volume": 121603.45, "trend": 0.8168, "fair_value": 0.673355, "relative_strength": -34.274615, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.436947, "energy": 40.968017, "activity_lines": [ 0.727333, 0.759327, 0.754657, 0.774695 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }