{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "42c33543-893b-4ef2-b8b2-aa9374baaafe",
    "symbol": "00728",
    "name": "FSITC Taiwan Industry Elite 30 ETF",
    "exchange": "TAI",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 51.186,
    "architecture_energy": 35.622,
    "architecture_maturity": 74.202,
    "architecture_confidence": 94.537,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 28.76,
        "rotation_up": 34.72,
        "upward_expansion": 60.73,
        "deceleration": 88.33,
        "rotation_down": 27.65,
        "downward_expansion": 22.06
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        61.996667,
        62.417718,
        60.694385,
        57.254632
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 63.650002,
    "trend_reference": 52.385953,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.21502,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 32.716565,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.945498,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 9.091822,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.557979,
    "excess_performance": 0.178667,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.21502,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.205678,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.945498,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.018607,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.090918,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.0432,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.557979,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.251384,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 909520,
      "relative_activity": 1.085361,
      "balance": 2.251384,
      "dry_up": 1.478763,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.062642,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.283209,
      "from_high_reference": -0.04858,
      "from_low_reference": 1.137827
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 52.385953,
      "fair_value_reference": 32.716565,
      "structural_low": 39.717182,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": 0.007997,
        "positive_rate": 0.7,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.7,
        "median_excess_return": -0.001274,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.065151,
        "worst_return": -0.072226,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.035306,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": -0.012771,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.082169,
        "worst_return": -0.15492,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.099694,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.017007,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.120377,
        "worst_return": -0.176553,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.065066,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.010266,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.358133,
        "worst_return": -0.157214,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-10-20",
        "end": "2024-05-03",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.24491,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-05-10",
        "end": "2024-05-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.036651,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-05-31",
        "end": "2024-08-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.01623,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-08-09",
        "end": "2024-10-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.086067,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-10-25",
        "end": "2024-12-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.025218,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-12-20",
        "end": "2025-02-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.045426,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-02-14",
        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.043733,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-03-21",
        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.023325,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.102083,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-06-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.153411,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-06-20",
        "end": "2025-06-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.018494,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-07-04",
        "end": "2025-08-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.041804,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2026-07-31",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 1.014978,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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      },
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        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 875473.25,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 63.0,
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        "typical_volume": 891061.15,
        "trend": 49.004849,
        "fair_value": 31.683567,
        "relative_strength": 6.03372,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 59.650002,
        "volume": 1386050,
        "typical_volume": 905413.85,
        "trend": 49.792426,
        "fair_value": 31.931557,
        "relative_strength": 6.552439,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.040741,
        "energy": 61.279971,
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          62.583335,
          62.396869,
          58.885027,
          55.043315
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 60.799999,
        "volume": 905473,
        "typical_volume": 820464.85,
        "trend": 50.641848,
        "fair_value": 32.183294,
        "relative_strength": 6.015269,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 51.016755,
        "energy": 49.110505,
        "activity_lines": [
          61.790001,
          62.234219,
          59.451758,
          55.753481
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 61.75,
        "volume": 1755703,
        "typical_volume": 846198.85,
        "trend": 51.490308,
        "fair_value": 32.443757,
        "relative_strength": 8.791675,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 44.439119,
        "energy": 34.976259,
        "activity_lines": [
          61.546667,
          62.183353,
          60.025897,
          56.470136
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 63.650002,
        "volume": 909520,
        "typical_volume": 837988.6,
        "trend": 52.385953,
        "fair_value": 32.716565,
        "relative_strength": 9.091822,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 51.185874,
        "energy": 35.622416,
        "activity_lines": [
          61.996667,
          62.417718,
          60.694385,
          57.254632
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}